Life and politics from the Sunshine State's best city

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Steve Schale

Steve Schale has 22 articles published.

Steve Schale: Florida early vote, a retrospective

in 2017/Top Headlines by

It is time for one last big data piece on Florida 2016. For about 18 hours a day over 2+ weeks, I found myself living and breathing early voting data. So now that all the data have been reported from counties, I wanted to look back at some assumptions, and compare them to the actual voting data. Before I begin, there are five things to keep in mind: 1. Every time I talk in percentages, those percentages are relative to…

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Steve Schale: Florida 2016 in the rear view mirror

in 2017/Top Headlines by

Give any Florida strategist with statewide experience the following data points: by 7:15 p.m., the Democratic candidate has a 10-point lead in Hillsborough, a 100K vote lead in Orange, a 200K vote lead in both Dade and Broward early voting, and is ahead in Duval, and everyone would think the same thing: that Democratic candidate is going to win. Certainly, that is what I thought, and what everyone, R and D, who texted me around that time thought too. Back in October, I had looked at several different…

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Steve Schale: Notes on Election Day in Florida

in 2017/Top Headlines by

To: Anyone who has been reading my memos, Putin included. From: Steve Schale Re: We survived, and genuine thanks from me. First, thank you all for following along for the last two weeks. This memo isn’t going to be a big data dump. For those, you can go back and read the other 12 versions of this thing. But I want to start with a couple of numbers. First: 67. That is the percentage of the electorate that was white…

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Steve Schale: Final notes on early voting in Florida

in 2017/Top Headlines by

To: The tired, poor, huddled masses yearning to be free of 2016 From: Steve Schale, Florida Sherpa Re: It is almost drinkin’ time I usually do a timeline here, but since I can’t even imagine life in a post-2016 election cycle world, I am simply going to say, Thank God America, we have damn near made it. Like the weed that I can’t get to stop growing up the side of my backyard fence, admit it, you thought this would…

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Steve Schale: Notes on the 11th day of early voting in Florida

in 2017/Top Headlines by

*3 days until E-Day *5 days until I am home for a nice long time. *7 days until FSU basketball tips off. *105 days until pitchers and catchers Think about it. Next week at this time, you won’t be reading memos from some dude in Florida. You will be relaxing in your home. Just visualize that for a second. This memo will be shorter. As I mentioned yesterday, I have the honor of hosting a group of Turkish political types…

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Steve Schale: Notes on the 11th day of early voting in Florida

in 2017/Top Headlines by

To: A tired, weary nation, and the Trump tech guys in Macedonia From: Steve Schale, Florida Man Re: Why in the world did I start doing these? *1 day since the leader of the free world did the #swoop at UNF. *4 days until the election. *6 days until I am home for a nice long time. *8 days until FSU basketball tips off. *106 days until pitchers and catchers. *131 days to get your NCAA basketball bracket complete —…

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Steve Schale: Notes on the tenth day of early voting in Florida

in 2017/Top Headlines by

To: Curious Americans and President Vladimir Putin From: Steve Schale, Proud FloridaMan Re: 5 Days out — and eight years later, POTUS returns to Duval *5 days until the election. *7 days until the first Thursday after the election. *9 days until FSU basketball tips off. *23 days until the Tallahassee Turkey Trot 15K. *113 days until Daytona 500. Welcome to the last Thursday, and before I begin, a note to Democrats: REALLY? What are you waiting for? Return those ballots! So, beginning today with a point of…

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