About a week ago, I used this space to offer an honest critique of national Democrats turning their backs on Patrick Murphy.
At the time, Murphy was lagging behind by about four points; at least one poll showed it was even closer. With Donald Trump cratering, it only seemed logical to this writer that abandoning Murphy was a dumb move.
And now, we have new variables to consider.
First, there is another poll, this one from Quinnipiac, showing the race tightening to two points (last month, these same folks had Rubio up four.)
Second, there is a solid debate performance by the lesser known Murphy (who was expected to get clobbered by the hugely experienced Marco Rubio).
I am not suggesting, by any means, that Murphy won the debate.
But for a lesser-known candidate who did not have the experience of (what certainly felt like) several dozen presidential debates, I think we can all agree at a minimum he held his own.
Third, a rough count shows team Rubio outspending Murphy by about 5:1.
And yet, the race resides well within the margin of error.
And now, we also learn Democratic voters are stunningly on par with GOP voters regarding vote-by-mail requests and returns, something that has happened since … well, since, never. It has NEVER happened before.
Plus, we also see declining enthusiasm among GOP voters (I am told by more than one well-respected pollster). That makes sense, given how Trump continues to open his mouth.
What should this mean? With three weeks left, the Democrats should be getting ready to pounce. This seat should be ripe for a win.
In one of the funniest scenes in “Dumb and Dumber,” Jim Carrey hopes Lauren Holly’s character will date him. After he forces the question, she admits that the odds of are one in a million.
Carey pauses … pauses … before elatedly shouting: “So you’re telling me there’s a chance?”
That’s funny; precisely the opposite of what is happening in Florida.
Patrick Murphy’s odds are extremely good. He has been massively outspent, running against a well-known incumbent and is still within striking distance in what looks like (at a minimum) a solid year for Democrats.
Any idiot can see this race is there for the taking.
Apparently, those who call the shots up in D.C. are not just any idiots.
They are dumb. Very dumb.