Patrick Murphy Archives - Page 6 of 52 - SaintPetersBlog

Florida GOP Chair Blaise Ingoglia says ‘shadow’ Donald Trump vote in Florida is real

The conventional wisdom in Florida is that the Hillary Clinton campaign has created a much more robust infrastructure in the state compared to the Donald Trump campaign.

There are now 82 Hillary For America/Florida Democratic Party field offices in the state, dozens more than the Trump campaign.

Clinton and her allies have spent more than $50 million on television advertising, while Trump has spent around $30 million.

But Blaise Ingoglia, the always-fiery Republican Party of Florida chair, disputes the notion that the Clinton campaign is stronger in the Sunshine State.

Hillary Clinton and the Florida Democratic Party [were] absolutely absent over the last 22 months. They’ve had to hire all of these people over the last two months,” he said, claiming that is exactly the opposite of what the RPOF has been doing. “We had operatives on the ground working in these communities, registering people, ID-ing people, talking to people for the better part of two years; we have paid people and people we have been training for the better part of two years.”

Ingoglia’s point is that while the Trump camp may have been slow in developing, the Republican Party of Florida has been harder at work that their Democratic counterparts. “We’re knocking on doors, we’re talking to voters, we’re chasing absentee ballots. We’re doing everything that a campaign should be doing in conjunction with the Trump campaign,” he said.

Ingoglia was in Tampa making the media rounds a day after he was one of the opening speakers at Trump’s latest rally, this one before more than 15,000 people at The MidFlorida Credit Union Amphitheater in eastern Hillsborough County. Ingoglia disputes reporting that he’s been MIA at Trump events this year, saying he’s appeared in at least four Trump and/or Mike Pence rallies since the GOP convention in late July.

Earlier in the day, Democratic strategist Steve Schale tweeted Democrats were in a better position regarding the early/absentee vote at this juncture than they were in 2012 when Barack Obama ultimately won the state by less than one percent.

Ingoglia isn’t buying it.

“The first thing I would say is that if you look since 2010, the trend has been for more people to vote early and especially by vote-by-mail,” he said. “Vote-by-mail has become very popular in Florida and the Democrats have been pushing the vote-by-mail ballots very heavily since 2012, 2014, and 2016. So I’m not concerned because all the Democrats are doing are taking away early voters and Election Day voters and moving them up and getting them to vote earlier by voting absentee and early vote.”

Current polls show on average Clinton is leading Trump by approximately four percentage points in the Sunshine State. Throughout the year, however, there have been those who say that there is a “hidden Trump vote,” that isn’t being captured by pollsters. Count Blaise Ingoglia as one Republican who believes in that theory.

“That exists — that is real,” Ingoglia insisted. “If you take the number for the people coming out of the presidential preference primary who never voted before, that number was 150,000. So those people are going to be voting in the general election, and the overwhelming majority of them are going to be voting for Donald Trump. If you take into account that general elections bring out a lot more voters, I think that you can expand upon that number.”

“I think this race is going to be a lot closer than what people are predicting,” he surmised, citing the numbers from GOP stronghold Collier County to provide ballast for his argument. There was a record 7,633 participating in the first day of early voting there on Monday.

On Monday, Simone Ward, the Florida state director for Hillary for America, wrote in a memo that, “Our organizers and thousands of volunteers have been able to build a game-winning ground operation designed to engage, register, and turn out Florida’s expansive and diverse electorate. We feel confident that we will deliver the state of Florida for Hillary Clinton and Democrats up and down the ticket, but realize there’s much more work to be done.”

Ward also noted 259,000 new Democrats were added to the voting rolls this year, a seven percent advantage over the GOP, which added 206,000 registered Republicans. “In fact, Democrats have added nearly 692,000 new voters to the rolls since 2012 versus 593,000 Republicans — and the trends continue to go upward in our favor,” she wrote.

Some Democrats have been getting excited about new polls that show Senate hopeful Patrick Murphy getting closer to Marco Rubio, though there hasn’t been a credible poll showing Murphy actually leading the race.

Ingoglia predicted the GOP incumbent would win the seat by four or five percentage points.

Since being elected in an upset over Rick Scott’s choice to chair the RPOF back in January of 2015, Ingoglia has emphasized that his raison d’être has been to move Florida into the red column in the 2016 presidential election, after it went for Obama in ’08 and 2012. We asked if he feels he’s done everything he can to make that happen, acknowledging the fact that some factors are beyond his control (such as the behavior of his party’s standard-bearer).

“I will say I have an amazing bunch of people who make up the Republican Party of Florida, both staff and the members of the RPOF. We have busted our butts over the last two years preparing the party for this election. I am proud of the work that we have done, we have literally worked day and night, night and day to rebuild the party infrastructure for the future. So to answer your question, yeah, we will continue building the party after this election.”

Poll: Marco Rubio 40%, Patrick Murphy 38%

Sen. Marco Rubio has a narrow lead over Rep. Patrick Murphy, according to a new poll of likely Florida voters.

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll shows 40 percent of likely voters said they were backing Rubio in the U.S. Senate race, while 38 percent picked Murphy. The poll found 12 percent of voters either didn’t know or refused to say and 6 percent said they were voting for someone else.

Murphy has the support from 74 percent of Democrats and 35 percent of independent voters. The survey found 6 percent of Republicans said they were backing him.

Rubio, the poll found, has the backing of 79 percent of Republicans and 36 percent of independent voters. He also has support from across the aisle, with support from 13 percent of likely Democratic voters.

The online poll of 1,532 likely voters was conducted from Oct. 5 through Oct. 12.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll is in line with other recent surveys, which showed a tight race between the two men. According to RealClearPolitics, Rubio has an average 3.4 percentage point lead over Murphy.

The two men are scheduled to meet Wednesday for their second debate of the election cycle. The one-hour, televised debate, hosted by Leadership Florida and the Florida Press Association, kicks off at 7 p.m. at Broward College in Davie. The debate will be broadcast in each of Florida’s 11 media markets and simulcast on Florida Public Radio member stations.

Cynthia ‘Cindy’ Graves: Patrick Murphy — utter disrespect for women

Living in a world that is out-of-touch with most Floridians, Congressman Patrick Murphy has consistently shown us why he is unfit for the job of congressman, much less the office of senator, a promotion he is currently seeking.

Murphy has spent his life sheltered from the real difficulties Floridians face every day and has exaggerated his life experience in a desperate attempt to make up for the fact that he has accomplished absolutely nothing in the private sector, or in his four years in Congress.

Murphy has lied on his resume about everything from his college degree to his career and went so far as to attempt to delay much-needed algae crisis aid to Floridians so he could take credit at a news conference earlier this year.

All of these things, and believe me, there are more, deem him unfit for office in my mind. However, the latest Murphy news is enough to make anyone’s head spin, especially mine as a mom.

In the first debate of Florida’s U.S. Senate race, Murphy the nerve to lecture Sen. Marco Rubio on the fair and respectful treatment of women.

Really, Mr. Murphy?

A photo had surfaced in recent weeks that is not befitting of any man, much less a Congressman of the United States of America, a picture of Murphy groping a young woman’s chest that was on his Facebook in plain sight when he first ran for Congress just a few years ago.

This is a photo that is proof that doesn’t take himself, his job, or the women around him seriously. Murphy’s excuse was simply that this was his girlfriend, nothing to see here, move along.

An excuse saying this was a girlfriend? That’s not an excuse; that’s even worse.

The privilege that Patrick Murphy has shamelessly exhibited over the last several years as a congressman is a dangerous example of a young, wealthy man who simply thinks the rules don’t apply to him. Murphy has exemplified this not only through this photo but also his repeated lies to Floridians, lies he thought he could easily get away with.

With his U.S. Senate race, Mr. Murphy’s dishonesty and disrespect for the voters of Florida have now gained statewide attention.

As the mother of four adult children who are respectful of their own privilege and has achieved professional success based on their acumen and honest accomplishment, I must share my grave concerns regarding this man.

I want a senator who sets an example by inspiring the trust of Florida citizens with his unfailing honesty, dedication to his job, respect for his elected office, and respect for the women in his life.

I will be voting for Marco Rubio on Nov. 8.

___

Cynthia “Cindy” Graves is chair of the Republican Party of Duval County and a past president of the Florida Federation of Republican Women.

Mitch Perry Report for 10.25.16 – DCCC ad linking Trump to Jolly goes away, but has the damage been done?

Attention political junkies: not every voter pays attention to politics until right before the election, which is why that ad by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee “dramatizing” David Jolly standing with Donald Trump was so egregious.

The ad — one of the most controversial of any produced this season in American politics — was immediately denounced by the Jolly campaign, who protested to local television stations to stop airing it. They did not. Nor did his Democratic opponent, Charlie Crist, say anything negative when called to denounce it at the time.

But beware the power of the Tampa Bay Times editorial page. On Monday morning, the Times took shots at that ad, and called for Crist to demand his new political party take those dishonest ads off the air. They also criticized other negative ads being aired against Hillsborough County State Attorney Mark Ober and state Senate District 18 Democratic candidate Bob Buesing.

After reading the editorial, Crist did as the Times demanded and called on the DCCC to drop the ad. In his own words, Crist said he was “moved” by the Times editorial, and expressed contrition that he hadn’t asked the DCCC to take it down earlier.

But the damage has been done, and Jolly wasn’t “moved” by Charlie’s about-face.

“I’ll be blunt: Charlie is a liar, always has been,” Jolly said. “Charlie’s opportunity to be moved was two weeks ago when he was confronted at Eckerd College about the ad and he claimed the First Amendment.”

The question that maybe we’ll never know is: how many voters on the fence in the 13th Congressional District were undecided about this congressional race, but are turned off by Trump and thus were persuaded not to scribble in the circle next to Jolly’s name on the ballot in Pinellas County?

The fact is, we can’t allow any candidate or third-party group in the future to allow for such “dramatizations.” They’re outright lies, and there’s already enough of that on an everyday basis in our politics, and in our campaign ads. Faking pictures is going to a new low, and while it may not be illegal, it shouldn’t be allowed.

In other news …

Donald Trump returned to Tampa last night. We hung out with some of his supporters before he came on the stage.

Hillary Clinton returns to Tampa for her fourth time this year on Wednesday.

Marco Rubio began his Monday in Sun City Center, where he added “liberal” to the other epithets he’s been throwing at Democratic Senate opponent Patrick Murphy.

The Hillsborough County Republican Party recently gave a $1,000 contribution to the lone Republican in the Tampa City Council District 7 race, Jim Davison. However, according to the City of Tampa’s charter regarding nonpartisan races, that’s a no-no.

HART has received $1 million to study a driverless bus in the county.

And what happens if Hillary Clinton wins in November, and Barack Obama passes the TPP in December? Chaos in the Democratic Party? Local guy Frank Sanchez agrees with Tampa Mayor Bob Buckhorn on supporting the TPP, for what that’s worth.

At Sun City Center, Marco Rubio derides Patrick Murphy as an “old-fashioned liberal”

Marco Rubio has been making the case that Patrick Murphy hasn’t accomplished much of anything during his four years in the U.S. House of Representatives. Now, with the polls tightening, he’s saying that the voting record of his Democratic rival in the U.S. Senate race is also too liberal.

“Why does someone lie about their background, about things that they have done? Apparently because they haven’t done anything,” Rubio told a couple of dozens supporters at a clubhouse in Sun City Center in South Hillsborough County early Monday morning. “Here’s what’s worse: When he’s not lying, he’s actually incredibly liberal.”

Rubio citied Murphy’s support of the Iran nuclear deal and his support for closing down Guantanamo Bay as evidence that the Jupiter Representative is too left for Florida voters.

“I’ve seen this ad the other day. It says he’s an independent voice,” Rubio said, adding, “Not on the issues that count.”

“On the issues that count, he doesn’t just mislead people, he’s a good old fashioned liberal, and Florida cannot afford to have somebody that liberal in the US Senate, particularly on issues of national security,” Rubio said.

“Patrick Murphy is one of the most independent members of Congress and it’s clear that Marco Rubio is desperate,” replied Murphy spokesperson Galia Slayen. “Despite millions of dollars in special interest money being spent against Patrick, we’re tied in the polls, Rubio’s hometown paper endorsed Patrick, and President Obama exposed Rubio for the coward that he is for continuing to support Donald Trump. Marco Rubio is devoid of political courage and lying about Patrick’s record. Floridians deserve better.”

Murphy’s voting record was certainly not considered that liberal to Florida progressives  when he first declared his candidacy for senate in early 2015. Murphy actually was a Republican before switching to becoming a Democrat, and his votes in support of the Keystone XL Pipeline and for a House Committee to investigate Benghazi were frequently invoked by Alan Grayson, Murphy’s top opponent in the Democratic primary.

Campaigning on the first day of early voting in Hillsborough County (and in 49 other counties in Florida), Rubio said that while much of the focus is on the presidential race, he emphasized the importance of his senate race, referring to the power that a senator has in approving or rejecting Supreme Court justices. He said if the next nominee happens to be in their mid 50’s, they’ll likely be on the court for the next 20-25 years, “which is the equivalent of three eight-year presidencies.”

“That means that for the next 25 years, the very balance of the Supreme Court is at stake,” he added.

With Donald Trump speaking in Tampa on Monday night, the Murphy campaign issued out a statement with the headline, “Will Today Be The Day?” asking mischievously if the two could end up on stage together. “We’re not doing presidential events,” Rubio said, not looking pleased to answer the question.

The Florida Senator continues to be hammered by members of the media for not disassociating himself from the GOP nominee, who he blasted during the presidential primary season, but is now backing because he says he’s preferable to a Hillary Clinton presidency.

On “This Week in South Florida” on Sunday, Miami WLPG-TV host Michael Putney blasted Rubio as a “smart, talented guy who earned our respect when he first sought elected office,” but “now it seems he’ll do or say anything to say in office, even swallow his pride and vote for a presidential candidate he clearly detests, all to advance his own political ambitions.”

Rubio said when it comes to Trump, he’s letting such criticism roll off of him.

“I’ve talked about that race repeatedly. People know how I feel about it,” he said regarding his continuing support for a Trump presidency. “I’m focused on the senate race. If people want to continue talking about other things, they certainly have the right, it’s  a free country. We’re blessed to have such freedoms in this country.”

“We’ve reached this point in America where people hate each other because of who they’re voting for,” Rubio later said, alluding to how divisive the Clinton-Trump race has become. “People hate each other because of what bumper sticker they have on their car. We’ve got to back away a little bit from that. We should feel passionately about our issues, but ultimately we all have to share the same country. There is no scenario where half of us do better and the other half does worse, that’s not a country that works. We can all be better off, and we should be able to disagree on political issues while still working on issues that we agree on.”

Rubio has spoken critically for years about Hillary Clinton, prompting FloridaPolitics to ask the Senator if he could work effectively with her if the two of them both won on November 8?

“When she agrees with me,” he immediately quipped. “I’ll look forward to working with her.”

He then went on to say that the majority of his major legislation he’s passed in his six years in the Senate have had major buy-in from Democrats, referring specifically to his “Girls Count Act” with New Hampshire’s Jeanne Shaheen (that will direct current U.S. foreign aid to support the rights of women and girls in developing countries by working to establish birth registries in their countries) and proposed higher education legislation with Virginia’s Mark Warner .

“When we agree on something, I enjoy working with people who I disagree with on other issues,” he said.

Rubio was scheduled to then attend a forum on the opioid crisis with Congressman Vern Buchanan in Bradenton.

Florida Chamber poll shows Marco Rubio with big lead over Patrick Murphy

The race between Sen. Marco Rubio and Rep. Patrick Murphy is anything but close, at least according to a new Florida Chamber poll.

The survey shows Rubio holds a big lead over Murphy, 51 percent to 37 percent. Eleven percent of respondents either said they didn’t know who they were supporting or refused to say.

The Chamber of Commerce poll was conducted from Oct. 16 through Oct. 19 by Cherry Communications. The poll of 507 of likely and newly registered voters has a margin of error of 4.4 percent.

According to a polling memo, Rubio leads Murphy 52 percent to 46 percent among Hispanic voters, and 60 percent to 33 percent among white voters. He also holds significant leads when it comes to men (56 percent to 36 percent) and women (52 percent to 42 percent).

A quarter of respondents (25 percent) said they had never heard of Murphy, a significant hurdle with just two weeks to go before Election Day. The poll found 27 percent respondents had a favorable opinion of Murphy, while 30 percent said they had an unfavorable view.

Rubio is much better known, with just 2 percent of respondents saying they never heard of him. The poll found 48 percent of Floridians said they had a favorable view of Murphy, while 30 percent said they had an unfavorable view.

The results of the Chamber poll paint a significantly different picture than other recent polls, which show just a few points separated the two men.

A Public Policy Polling survey conducted on Oct. 12-13 showed Rubio leading 48 percent to 43 percent; while a Quinnipiac University poll conducted from Oct. 10-16 showed Rubio with 49 percent, compared to Murphy’s 47 percent. And according to RealClearPolitics, Rubio has an average 3.4 percentage point lead over Murphy.

The Division of Elections reported nearly 1.2 million voters had cast their ballot in the Nov. 8 general election as of Sunday. Early voting is scheduled to begin Monday in about 50 Florida counties.

CBS poll shows dead heat between Patrick Murphy, Marco Rubio

The Patrick Murphy campaign had more to cheer about Sunday after a CBS News poll showed the first-term congressman within striking distance of incumbent Republican Sen. Marco Rubio.

The poll showed Rubio with 44 percent support among registered Florida voters compared to 42 percent support for Murphy, with 8 percent undecided and 6 percent saying they would vote for a different candidate.

Last week a poll from Opinion Savvy showed the Murphy, a Democrat, tied with Rubio at 46 percent support, and a Quinnipiac University poll showed Rubio ahead by 2 points.

In addition to the head-to-head, the poll also asked voters who they would choose if they could change their vote in the Republican Primary, and Donald Trump came out on top with 21 percent of the vote, followed by John Kasich with 17 percent.

Rubio, who placed second in the Florida Primary back in the spring, was the third place finisher in the with 15 percent support. Another 12 percent said they would have voted for Jeb Bush and 9 percent picked Ted Cruz, while the remaining 26 percent said they would vote for “someone else.”

The poll also showed Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton with 46 percent support compared to 43 percent for Trump. Libertarian Gary Johnson polled at 3 percent and Green Party nominee Jill Stein took 2 percent.

The CBS News poll was conducted over the internet Oct. 20 and 21 and received 1,042 responses. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 percent.

The New York Times backs Patrick Murphy for U.S. Senate

The New York Times is weighing in on Florida’s U.S. Senate race.

The Times encouraged Floridians to support Rep. Patrick Murphy in an editorial released Saturday. The editorial backing Murphy over Sen. Marco Rubio comes just days before in-person early voting begins in more than four dozen Florida counties.

“Mr. Murphy’s positions on climate change — an issue that Mr. Rubio seems deeply ignorant about — gay rights, gun control, and comprehensive immigration reform make him by far a superior representative for Floridians,” wrote the New York Times editorial board. “Mr. Murphy has also challenged Mr. Rubio’s obstinate support for the failed embargo on Cuba, which puts him on the right side of history and, increasingly, public opinion in Florida.”

The Times noted Rubio was once seen by “Republican establishment as one of its best hopes for taking back the White House.” Instead, Murphy is in striking distance of defeating Rubio in his re-election bid.

Calling the race “the most consequential among several in Florida in which Republican incumbents find themselves in unexpectedly tough fights,” the editorial board said the plight of Florida Republicans is a result of the name on the top of the ticket — Donald Trump. However, the editors write the “changing Latino electorate” is also a significant factor in this year’s election.

The newspaper noted “many voters have become alienated by (Rubio’s) hard-line conservative positions on issues such as gay rights, reproductive rights, gun control, and the repeal of the Affordable Care Act, and by his shifting stance on immigration reform.”

“Of course, the Trump factor is substantial, too. Mr. Rubio, who once called Mr. Trump a “con artist” wholly unfit to be president, now backs him. Many former Rubio supporters find that galling and indefensible,” according to the editorial.

“For these reasons, Florida voters should support Mr. Murphy. But defeating Mr. Rubio, who earned a reputation on Capitol Hill as a disengaged lawmaker who skipped scores of key votes and hearings, shouldn’t be the only motive.”

Read the full editorial here.

Manley Fuller: Hurricane Matthew delivers another reminder of life on Florida’s coastline

Manley Fuller
Manley Fuller

Early estimates placed Florida’s total economic damage from Hurricane Matthew in the range of $25-$70 billion.

With the weakening of the storm and a track that moved the storm eastward, the estimated damage from the storm dropped significantly, but that should not keep us from acknowledging the real threat Matthew was to Florida.

Real estate analytics firm CoreLogic estimates more than 954,000 homes in Florida are at risk of surge damage from a Category 4 storm. If Matthew had turned inland even by 20 miles, the losses experienced would have been on par with Hurricane Sandy.

Thankfully, managers of the Florida’s Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (or “Cat Fund” as it is commonly called) convinced Gov. Scott and the state Cabinet, sitting as the Board of Administration, to up the state’s purchase of reinsurance to $1 billion. That is on top of a record $17 billion in reserves due to a series of 10 years without a significant storm event.

So, Florida residents are less likely to see an assessment on our insurance bills, or as we call it, a “hurricane tax.”

Unlikely, that is, unless Florida gets hit by another storm. It is the scenario that keeps state insurance regulators up at night.

A second storm on the heels of a Hurricane Matthew would leave no other choice than to go to the bond markets, a costly step that, once again, relies on taxpayers to repay the state’s borrowings.

FWF has spent a number of years working with reinsurers and our allies in the Stronger Safer Florida Coalition to convince policymakers private insurance is the best means to cover risks in our coastal communities.

We believe it should not fall on the backs of taxpayers to cover repeated flood loss. Congress appears to be heeding these warnings as they prepare to re-enact the Nation Flood Insurance Program.

Measures by Florida Congressmen Patrick Murphy and Dennis Ross would establish private flood insurance markets. Similar measures have been enacted by the Florida Legislature, thanks to the hard work of State Sen. Jeff Brandes, who annually files legislation designed to reform Florida’s insurance codes.

A bill, filed by Reps. Ed Royce, a California Republican, and Earl Blumenauer, a Democrat from Oregon, addressing repetitive flood loss, is expected to eventually be wrapped into the reauthorization of the flood insurance program next year.

“Repetitive flood loss continues to place communities and families at risk while shortchanging the federal taxpayer and all those who pay flood insurance premiums,” Blumenauer said.

One NFIP-insured home valued at $69,000 flooded 34 times in 32 years and racked up $663,000 in claims, said Royce, the California congressman.

“It’s said that insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results,” Royce said in a statement. “It’s time to stop the madness for policyholders and taxpayers who subsidize this cycle.”

Indeed, congressman!

Importantly, for Florida Wildlife Federation members and many of us who want to conserve low-lying coastal and riverine lands, this will ultimately serve to protect such habitat for the benefit of wildlife and public recreation.

Left in their natural state, barrier islands also serve to protect the mainland from storm surge and high winds.

Florida policymakers will no doubt be asked to replace millions of tons of beach sands lost to Hurricane Matthew.

Homeowners will light up their elected representative’s phones when premium notices are mailed. Citizens Insurance will, once again, be the target of renewed calls to take on new business and cap premiums.

In an age of sea level rise and extreme weather events, Florida cannot retreat from efforts to reform insurance and to educate residents on the dangers inherent in coastal living.

We have to remain steadfast in mitigating against the worst impacts and resolute in seeing that people learn to live with a constantly reshaping coastline.

___

Manley Fuller is president of the Florida Wildlife Federation, a private, tax-exempt, nonprofit citizens’ conservation and education organization working for the protection, enjoyment and sound management of Florida’s fish and wildlife and other natural resources.

New poll shows Patrick Murphy, Marco Rubio tied after Democrat’s post-debate surge

The Patrick Murphy campaign touted a new poll Friday showing the Democratic congressman tied with Republican U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio among Florida voters.

The Opinion Savvy poll shows both candidates with 46 percent among likely voters, with 8 percent of respondents undecided.

The numbers are a two point jump for Murphy compared to Opinion Savvy’s previous poll from Oct. 12.

The Murphy camp also touted an endorsement from “Rubio’s hometown paper,” the Miami Herald, and a new Spanish-language ad featuring Murphy and President Barack Obama.

Despite ceding some ground to Murphy, Rubio is still polling above Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, who had 45 percent support in the poll compared to 49 percent for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton.

Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein took less than 5 percent of the vote combined, with 1.5 percent of those polled still undecided on the presidential race.

About 22 percent of respondents said they had already voted, with the bulk of the rest saying they would definitely cast a ballot this cycle.

The Opinion Savvy poll contacted 538 likely voters through mobile and landline phones on Oct. 20, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent with 95 percent confidence.

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