As discussed ad infinitum, the only drama in tomorrow’s mayoral race is whether Rick Baker wins enough of the vote to avoid a November runoff versus incumbent Rick Kriseman.
The most recent survey from St. Pete Polls shows Baker with a seven-point lead and within striking distance of the fifty-percent-plus-one threshold. However, Kriseman’s campaign believes it has the Big Mo after the staunch Democrat was endorsed Friday by former president Barack Obama.
Even the most ardent Baker supporter will acknowledge that if the former mayor is to reclaim his old job, he’ll do it by winning somewhere between 52 to 54 percent of the vote.
Yes, the margin of error is that narrow.
But here’s the nightmare scenario for everyone … Baker, Kriseman, their staffs, and the city writ large.
Baker finishes at 49.8 percent, Kriseman at 41.5 percent, and the tomato cans eat up the rest.
An election is supposed to produce a winner and a loser, but if the end result turns out to be something resembling those numbers, everyone loses.
Baker will have lost because he’ll have to slog on to November while in the back of his mind he’ll wonder where he could have found the two- or three-hundred more votes needed to close out the race.
Kriseman will have lost because, seriously, what will his message be? “Hi, I’m the incumbent, but sixty percent of the city just voted for someone else.”
The biggest losers in the scenario described above are the voters themselves who would be subjected to two more months of the same ol’ sh*t.
Well, if Baker beats Kriseman Tuesday by eight or nine points, but doesn’t close out the race, to city voters it’s gonna feel like “Transformers 2” has been set on repeat.
Please, good Lord, don’t make us have to listen to the two Ricks talk any more about the freakin’ sewage system.