Meet the new boss, same as the old boss? The ink’s scarcely dry on Tuesday’s ballots, and most voters already expect the new Republican majority in Congress will let them down.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 59% of likely U.S. Voters believe it is at least somewhat likely that most voters will be disappointed with Republicans in Congress before the 2016 elections. That includes 36% who say it’s very likely.
Just 26% consider it unlikely that the new congressional GOP will be a disappointment to most voters, with seven percent (7%) who say it is not at all likely. Fifteen percent (15%) are not sure.
This is identical to the level of disappointment voters predicted at the time of the 2010 midterm elections when 59% said most voters are likely to be disappointed in the new House GOP majority by the time the 2014 elections rolled around.
Considering that just 16% now think the House is doing a good or excellent job and 13% say the same of the Senate, it looks like that disappointment is real.
But not surprisingly there are sharp partisan differences of opinion, given that Republicans have wrested the Senate away from Democrats while continuing to control the House. Sixty-one percent (61%) of Democrats think most voters are very likely to be disappointed with Republicans in Congress before the 2016 elections, but just 14% of Republicans and 32% of voters not affiliated with either major party agree.
The survey of 1,000 likely U.S. Voters was conducted on November 4-5, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports.
Obamacare is sure to be a hot topic of discussion for congressional Republicans after they take charge in January. Voters are now evenly divided over whether to repeal the health care law entirely or fix it piece-by-piece. Fifty-five percent (55%) still think the GOP majority is likely to repeal the law, but that number has been falling in recent surveys.
It’s also likely the new GOP-led Congress will pass legislation authorizing the construction of the Keystone XL pipeline from Canada to Texas, although the president is expected to veto that effort. Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters favor going ahead with the Keystone pipeline.
Most voters across all demographic categories think they are likely to be disappointed in the new Republican-run Congress two years from now.
Voters who rate health care and the environment as most important to their vote in the election are most likely to think voters will be disappointed. Voters who put the emphasis on foreign policy, immigration, and taxes and spending are the least likely to think the new Congress will be a disappointment.
It’s important to note that the two major parties rate Congress on a different scale. Among all voters, those giving the current Congress positive marks has been in single digits for months.
Yet when asked to analyze that same Congress, 53% of likely Democratic voters (53%) believe congressional Democrats have done a good job representing their party’s values, while just half as many likely GOP Voters (28%) feel that way about Republicans in Congress.