Lots of action so far on this Super Bowl. I talked to RJ Bell of Pregame.com and he tells me that 65% of bets to date have been on the underdog Ravens moving the opening line of San Francisco favored by 5 points to the current line of SF favored by 3.5 points.
The over/under is now 47.5 total points.
By considering the spread and the total, Vegas projects the approximant score of the game to be: San Francisco 26, Baltimore 22.
Chance to win game based on odds: San Francisco: 62%; Baltimore 38%.
$100 on Ravens to be Super Bowl champs pays $150.
Over 90% of Super Bowl bets in Vegas are placed on Saturday or Sunday.
How good are the Super Bowl teams?
Denver Broncos are the ONLY team that would be favored over the 49ers on a neutral field. FIVE teams would be favored over the Ravens (Broncos, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Packers)
San Francisco a perfect six out of six:
49ers have been favored by Vegas in ALL SIX Super Bowls they’ve played in.
Ravens biggest longshot ever to make Super Bowl?
Ravens first underdog EVER of more than a touchdown to win in both Division playoff round and Championship playoff round (archive from 1978 onwards). $100 on Ravens to win first playoff game against Colts, then letting the winnings ride against Denver, then letting those winnings ride against Patriots, would have paid $2,300!
Before the season started: San Francisco paid 17 to 1 to win Super Bowl ($100 won $1,700); Baltimore paid 14 to 1 to win Super Bowl ($100 won $1,400). Baltimore paid as high as 30-1 late in the season.
NFC has won 14 of last 15 Super Bowl coin tosses! 46 prior Super Bowl coin flips: 24 heads and 22 tails.
Joe Flacco now has 6 road playoff wins career — more than Joe Montana, Terry Bradshaw, Steve Young, Troy Aikman, Bret Favre, Tom Brady, and Peyton Manning. Those legends are a combined 13-29 on the road in the playoffs, while Flacco has won 6 out of 10.
Picking a winner:
The lower playoff seed has covered 12 of 14 vs. Vegas spread (Ravens lower-seeded team this year).
How Much Action on Super Bowl?
An estimated $10 BILLION is projected to be bet on Super Bowl XLVII worldwide! Over half of adult Americans are expected to have some money at risk on the game. Less than 1% of the total bet is expected to be wagered legally in Nevada.
First batch of fun props:
What will be Beyonce’s first song? “Crazy in Love” and “Love on Top” are co-favorites.
Will Beyonce’s be showing cleavage during her first song? YES has 80% chance
Will BOTH Harbaugh brothers be wearing hats? YES has a 90% chance
Will the longest touchdown of the game by over/under 45.5 yards?
Will the Ravens win by two touchdowns or more? $100 wins $900