City Council incumbents, Lisa Wheeler-Brown poised for victory Tuesday, new poll shows

in The Bay and the 'Burg by

Come Tuesday, Tim Nickens may just get what he’s been asking for. Well, not all of it, but enough.

The editor of editorials at the Tampa Bay Times has asked St. Petersburg voters to change the composition of the St. Pete City Council in a way that breaks the impasse between the City and the Tampa Bay Rays over how to move forward on locating and building a new stadium for the baseball club. Currently, the Council is deadlocked 4-4 over whether to allow the club to look beyond Pinellas County for a new home. Sickens and the Times have recommended either replacing incumbent Steve Kornell with Phillip Garrett or electing Lisa Wheeler-Brown over Will Newton for the open seat in District 7.

According to the final poll of the city’s municipal races, it appears Kornell, along with fellow incumbent Charlie Gerdes, will cruise to re-election, while Wheeler-Brown has a decisive lead heading into Tuesday’s election.

Kornell leads Garrett, 50 percent to 29 percent, according to the survey by St. Pete Polls, while Gerdes leads homeless advocate Monica Abbott 53 percent to 26 percent.

The same poll shows Wheeler-Brown with an 11-point lead over Newton, the brother of Wengay Newton, the City Councilmember both seek to succeed. LWB is at 46 percent to Newton’s 35 percent.

A poll taken in September showed Wheeler-Brown emerging from the primary with seven percent lead over Newton. Since that time, both candidates have run increasingly negative campaigns, with both camps exchanging barbs at debates and in paid media.

The poll showed that 52 percent of registered voters likely to cast a ballot in this election have already done so via mail-in balloting.

The poll was conducted with a 4.5 percent margin of error at a 95 percent confidence level.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.