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CQ: ‘Bill Young’s decision to run again eliminates Democrats’ chances’

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From Congressional Quarterly: Springtime in the Sunshine State has brought a blossoming of congressional races shifting in favor of the GOP.

An increasingly favorable environment for Republicans and strong GOP fundraising has prompted CQ Politics to revise several race ratings, moving two Florida House districts — the 2nd and 22nd — out of the Safe Democratic category and into the more competitive Likely Democratic position.

Meanwhile, Democrats’ unsuccessful effort to get long-term Republican Rep. C.W. Bill Young to retire in Florida’s 10th district has prompted a change in that race from Likely Republican into the less competitive Safe Republican category.

Young’s decision to run for a 21st term would appear to eliminate Democrats chances of picking up the 10th district.

Young, 79, was on retirement watch lists from the outset of the cycle and Democrats did their best to try to entice him into stepping down.

Along with recruiting a serious challenger in state Sen. Charlie Justice, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted Young with a slew of radio ads in the district early in the cycle.

But Young decided to stick around and while 10th district voters have increasingly voted for Democrats at the state and national levels, Young is likely too well known and too well liked to be in any danger. And with the DCCC playing defense in so many races across the country it doesn’t seem likely that they’ll be able to spend large sums of cash to take out such a senior Republican.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.

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