A new survey from St. Pete Polls of a newly reconfigured Congressional District 13 map shows that a potential Charlie Crist vs. Rick Baker matchup could be a cliffhanger.
The survey shows Crist leading with 46.2 percent of the vote, to Baker’s 42.2 percent. The remaining 11.6 percent are undecided.
Baker leads the only declared Democrat in the CD 13 race, Eric Lynn, by a 51-28 percent margin, with 20 percent undecided.
The Florida Supreme Court declared earlier this month that a total of eight congressional districts need to be redrawn, after they ruled that they had been gerrymandered by the Florida Legislature in 2012, in violation of the Fair District constitutional amendments passed by the voters in 2010. Two of those districts reside in the Tampa Bay area — CD 13 in Pinellas County, and CD 14 across the bay in Hillsborough County.
To conduct this survey, St. Pete Polls forecasted what the seat will look like.
“Because of the wording in the court’s ruling, we concluded that district boundaries can’t cross long bridges as the only point of connection with the rest of the district anymore, which makes Pinellas County a lot easier to map given its geography and population,” says Matt Florell with St. Pete Polls. “Taking the entire population from the 14th Congressional District at the southern end of the Pinellas County peninsula and adding it to the existing 13th Congressional District means that we have to remove roughly the same amount of residents from the northern end of the district. We decided to do this in the most compact and even way possible, and we ended up with the map that you see to the right.”
As of now, Lynn is the only declared candidate for the CD 13 seat that is being vacated by Republican incumbent David Jolly, who announced on Monday that he will be running for the GOP Senate nomination for U.S. Senate.