Did the auto bailout win it for Obama

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Did the auto bailout win it for Obama?

Nate Cohn shakes his head:

The president performed better among white voters in the Columbus media market, but the auto bailout and attacks on Bain probably weren’t responsible for the president’s strength in the state’s best educated metropolitan area … Instead, historic black turnout carried Obama to victory in the Buckeye State. As mentioned prior to the election, much of Obama’s improvement over Kerry was attributable to gains among black voters. In 2004, African Americans represented 11 percent of the Ohio electorate and voted 84 percent for Kerry. In 2012, 15 percent of Ohio’s electorate was African American and voted 96 percent for the president.

Yglesias reaches a similar conclusion based on the above graph by Michael LaCour, which compares Obama’s vote totals in 2008 and 2012:

The epicenter of the auto industry … is a place where Obama’s support declined by an above-average amount. That doesn’t prove anything regarding the bailout, of course, but it’s certainly the opposite of what you would expect if it gave him a huge boost.

Via The Daily Dish.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.