Forecasting model says Obama will win in 2012

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The Political Wire: Allan Lichtman, author of The Keys to the White House, a forecasting model that has correctly called every president since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election, says President Obama will win in 2012, Washington Whispers reports.

Said Lichtman: “Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose.”

“Lichtman developed his 13 Keys in 1981. They test the performance of the party that holds the presidency. If six or more of the 13 keys go against the party in power, then the opposing party wins.”

Notes Lichtman: “They’ve never missed. They’ve been right seven elections in a row. A number that goes way beyond statistical significance in a record no other system even comes close to.”

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including,,, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.