Sure, sure the New York Times‘ Nate Silver accurately predicted Barack Obama would win Florida, but did he come within a tenth of a point of forecasting Obama’s winning vote total?
Well — toot, toot, — that’s what I did on Tuesday night.
Check out this post on the Tampa Bay Times‘ Buzz blog. See where it says “@SaintPetersblog: Obama 49.7, Romney 48.9” – that was my final prediction for the Sunshine State.
The final numbers for Florida? Obama 49.87, Romney 49.27. That means I came within just over a tenth of a point of perfectly forecasting the final numbers.
And while it’s very easy to Tweet out a prediction, I actually put my money where my mouth is. Here’s my predictions market slip for $500 on Obama to win Florida at $100 to win $180.
Not for nothing, but this is the second time this year I have nailed the election results in Florida.
During the Republican primary, I finished second in POLITICO’s national contest about accurately predicting the GOP presidential primary.
Like I said, Nate Silver who?