Forget Nate Silver, I nailed my prediction of Barack Obama winning Florida

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Sure, sure the New York Times‘ Nate Silver accurately predicted Barack Obama would win Florida, but did he come within a tenth of a point of forecasting Obama’s winning vote total?

Well — toot, toot, — that’s what I did on Tuesday night.

Check out this post on the Tampa Bay Times‘ Buzz blog. See where it says “@SaintPetersblog: Obama 49.7, Romney 48.9” – that was my final prediction for the Sunshine State.

The final numbers for Florida? Obama  49.87, Romney 49.27. That means I came within just over a tenth of a point of perfectly forecasting the final numbers.

And while it’s very easy to Tweet out a prediction, I actually put my money where my mouth is. Here’s my predictions market slip for $500 on Obama to win Florida at $100 to win $180.

Not for nothing, but this is the second time this year I have nailed the election results in Florida.

During the Republican primary, I finished second in POLITICO’s national contest about accurately predicting the GOP presidential primary.

Like I said, Nate Silver who?

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including,,, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.