Further statistical evidence that recently-signed, controversial elections bill won't hurt Democrats as much as they're squealing

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I spent part of this weekend pouring over the election-returns data collected since early-voting was instituted in Florida. Additionally, I read up on literature analyzing this topic. One set of statistics jumped out at me, because it added credence to my argument that the recently-signed, controversial elections bill won’t hurt Democrats as much as they fear.

According to Florida Senate Interim Report 2011-118, in the each of the four primary election cycles with early-voting, more Republicans have actually early-voted than Democrats (contrary to popular opinion):

Aggregate turnout GOP vs. Dem:
2010 – 191,982 vs. 147,568
2008 – 116,555 vs. 115,622
2006 – 127,876 vs. 119,795
2004 – 5,872 vs. 4,085 (this was the first election with early-voting, so the data was a little sketchy).

Additionally, if not more importantly, during the last general election, Republican turnout exceeded Democratic turnout in early voting turnout for the first time:

Aggregate turnout GOP vs. Dems:
2010 – 483,174 vs. 436,966
2008 – 805,945 vs. 1,367,740
2006 – 322,590 vs. 346,089
2004 – 297,002 vs. 328,293

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.