GOP voters rallying? Analysis indicates turnout up slightly over '08

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So much for the meme that Republican voters are not excited about voting in 2012. New analysis indicates that turnout is up slightly in meaningful primaries over 2008:

A strong majority of the most competitive races … have actually seen turnout increase since 2008, including Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Michigan, Ohio, Alabama, Mississippi and Illinois. Of those states, only Mississippi wasn’t also competitive in 2008. The takeaway: When there is major vote in a competitive race, Republicans are turning out to vote — at a rate slightly higher than they did four years ago. No, 2008 wasn’t exactly a banner year for the GOP, so the party probably should hope its turnout would rise. But at least it has risen. So far.

Ed Morrissey is almost reassured:

Republican enthusiasm hasn’t waned since 2008, although the small level of increase (two percent overall) makes it hard to argue that it’s waxing.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including,,, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.