How I voted in St. Petersburg’s mayoral race — and my predictions in all the races

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As my blogging colleague Benjamin Kirby once predicted, I have cast my ballot for Rick Kriseman for Mayor of St. Petersburg.

The reason is simple: I do not want Kathleen Ford to win. Not in the primary election. Not in the general election.

The political reality is that incumbent Mayor Bill Foster is probably safe at this point. According to my internal surveys, my public surveys, and the Tampa Bay Times‘ numbers, Foster is at least 30% in the polls. Unless he’s found with a dead girl or a live boy tomorrow, he’s on to the finals. 

The polls now show Kriseman with a comfortable lead over Ford for second place. Honestly, up until someone bravely donned a chicken suit and drew attention to Kathleen’s numerous faults as a candidate, I did not think it was possible that Ford would not make the run-off. But that is where the race finds itself — with a chance of knocking out Kathleen Ford in the primary. 

To do that, Rick Kriseman will need every vote from residents like me who aren’t particularly satisfied with Foster, but aren’t sure of Kriseman. All we are sure of is ‘Anybody But Kathleen.’ 

And for the opportunity to not have to make another cynical choice in the general election, I am voting for Rick Kriseman in the primary election.

As for my prediction how tomorrow will turn out, I peg it at Foster 36%, Kriseman 34%, Ford 25%, 5% for Cates and Cogemi.

The referendum to cancel the contract with Michael Maltzan to build “The Lens” will pass 66% to 34%.

Of course, Darden Rice and Amy Foster will win their respective City Council races. I predict Rice will finish in the 50% to 55% range, while Foster will finish about 60% of the vote.

Oh, and Karl Nurse will win, also.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.