Reading Sabato’s Crystal Ball analysis, it appears that Mitt Romney is in for a “long slog”.
“When the remaining playing field is surveyed in its entirety, it is possible to conclude that Romney could be in better shape to win the nomination than he looks right now. While he is bound to take more losses over the next few months, particularly in Southern or Border states, Romney can go a long way toward becoming the GOP’s standard-bearer within the next month by winning Michigan and Ohio. Both will be major hurdles and neither will be easy — but then, for Romney, what really has been this year?”
Actually, I’ve always thought it would be a “long slog” for Romney. In September, I wrote:
“I don’t agree with the conventional wisdom that he is simply waiting for Perry to implode. Instead, Romney may be relying on a counter-intuitive strategy in which he stays close through Florida, but then pulls ahead of Perry by winning states like Illinois, New Jersey and New York, which, presumably are comprised of more moderate Republicans than, say, South Carolina. Certainly, Romney has the money to go the distance.”
Of course, I was completely wrong about it being Rick Perry that would be the cause of Romney’s troubles. But batting .500 in the prognostication business ain’t bad.