Few can toot their horns louder than me when I am right about a political prognostication, but I can also admit when I am wrong. And it’s important to admit, for the record and on my blog, when I am wrong about a major prediction.
Well, I was wrong about two major developments today.
The first is about Charlie Crist looking like he will run for the U.S. House. When news of this first broke, courtesy of Marc Caputo of POLITICO, I predicted that Crist would end up not running. I believed Crist was too interested in running for governor in 2018 to run in a redrawn Congressional District 13.
“Charlie Crist will not be running in 2016,” I tweeted. “You can take that to the bank.”
The bank, apparently, is closed.
Crist on Monday gave the most explicit statement to date that he will run for the CD 13 seat being vacated next by David Jolly.
In a tweet sent out Monday, Crist wrote, “If the new congressional map includes my home, I intend on running to serve the people again.” The tweet included a photo of Crist engaging an African-American couple in a discussion.
Crist not running wasn’t the only thing I was wrong about. I was also very wrong about our daughter Ella Joyce‘s ability to be potty trained.
This past weekend, my wonderful wife employed every trick in the book to get Ella to pee in the potty. After two days of frustration, I was ready to give up. I told Michelle that I just didn’t think Ella was ready. She proved me wrong Sunday evening when she sat on the potty and “let it go.”
Like with Crist, I was over-analyzing Ella’s situation. I was forgetting that Ella, like Charlie Crist, often prefers the simplest path.
Bottom line: Ella Joyce peed when she was ready to pee. Charlie Crist will run when he is ready to run.
Material from Mitch Perry was used in this post.