My friends at the Political Hurricane think so. In their latest ratings of State House races, they have moved HD 114 — pitting incumbent Fresen against environmentalist Ross Hancock — from “leans Republican” to “toss-up.”
This district, where Alex Sink got 49.27% 2010, is trending Democratic. Fresen has been dogged by ethical controversies and Hancock is doing well walking the district and picking up support from younger NPAs and University of Miami college students.
“Heavy voter registration on the UM campus is bringing thousands of first-time progressive voters into the District 114 race,” said Hancock. “Meanwhile, new polls showing independents tilting toward Nelson and Joe Garcia have to be good news for my campaign in a district that had a slight Republican tilt.”