Late Florida poll finds Obama, Romney one point apart

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On the eve of Election Day, a survey finds President Barack Obama one point ahead of Mitt Romney in Florida – or more accurately, one vote ahead out of more than 900.

“To be more specific, 473 respondents chose Obama and 472 picked Romney,” said the Public Policy Polling survey’s summary of the results.

Public Policy Polling notes that it has done four polls in Florida in the past three weeks, each showing a one-point margin – Obama led twice and Romney twice.

That finding is similar to an NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll showing Obama leading 47 percent to 49 percent.

However, it differs from some other recent polls that showed Romney with strong momentum in the race for Florida’s 29 Electoral College votes, considered key to winning the needed 270 to win the White House.

Mason-Dixon Polling & Research last week found a six-point Romney lead, 51 percent 45 percent, and a Florida Times-Union poll found a five-point Romney lead, 52-47.

In the race for Florida’s U.S. Senate seat, the new PPP poll found five-point lead for Democratic incumbent Sen. Bill Nelson over his challenger for re-election, Republican Rep. Connie Mack IV, 51 percent to 46 percent.

That finding is more in line with other polls from late last week. Mason-Dixon gave Nelson a six-point lead and the NBC/WSJ/Marist poll showed a nine-point lead.

Romney opened the day before the election in Florida, speaking to supporters in Sanford, near Orlando. If Romney wins, he would become the nation’s 45th president.

“Forty-five! Forty-five!” chanted several people in the Sanford audience Monday morning.

First lady Michelle Obama was scheduled to speak to supporters in Orlando later Monday in a final push before the polls close.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including,,, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.