Latest New York Times/YouGov poll: Rick Scott 46%, Charlie Crist 45%

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Republican Gov. Rick Scott is leading Democrat Charlie Crist by a single point in the latest YouGov/New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker poll released Monday.

The survey found Scott leads Crist 46-45 percent, including voters who lean towards a particular party. Taking “leaners” out of the calculations, Scott continues to lead by 43-42 percent.

The numbers fall just within the +/- 2 percent margin of error.

Libertarian candidate Adrian Wyllie was not included in the survey, but “Other” received 2 percent and 7 percent said they were unsure.

A deeper look at the poll finds Crist losing whites to Scott by 18 percent, but making a difference with strong support from Hispanics and non-whites.

YouGov also found a nearly 10 percent gender gap, as women favor the Democratic Crist by more than men did. The race now hinges on Democrats’ ability to boost turnout among base voters. Traditionally, Democrats are less passionate about midterm elections, which pose challenges for the Crist campaign.

Nonetheless, Democrats seem to be making headway with absentee and early in-person voters.

Conducted between Oct. 16 and Oct. 23, YouGov surveyed 5422 likely voters, based on official U.S. Census Bureau statistics and past voting patterns, determined by the 2012 Presidential Election Exit Poll by the National Election Pool (NEP), a association of news organizations.

Phil Ammann is a St. Petersburg-based journalist and blogger. With more than three decades of writing, editing and management experience, Phil produced material for both print and online, in addition to founding HRNewsDaily.com. His broad range includes covering news, local government and culture reviews for Patch.com, technical articles and profiles for BetterRVing Magazine and advice columns for a metaphysical website, among others. Phil has served as a contributor and production manager for SaintPetersBlog since 2013. He lives in St. Pete with his wife, visual artist Margaret Juul and can be reached at phil@floridapolitics.com and on Twitter @PhilAmmann.