Latest poll of SD 34: Ellyn Bogdanoff 48%, Maria Sachs 45%

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The match-up between Democrat Maria Sachs and Republican Ellyn Bogdanoff is living up to the competitive expectations political observers had for the race for State Senate District 34 as just three points separate the two candidates, according to a new survey from St. Pete Polls.

Bogdanoff now leads Sachs 48% to 45%, although these numbers fall within the poll’s margin of error of 4.0%. Still, these new numbers represent a six-point swing in Bogdanoff’s favor over the last week. Then, Sachs narrowly led Bogdanoff, 43.5% to 43.1%.

The seat Sachs and Bogdanoff are eyeing, a coastal district in northern Broward and southern Palm Beach counties, is a poster child for the effects of redistricting.

In 2010, Sachs ran unopposed for a Senate seat, while Bogdanoff won her Senate race by 20 percentage points. But this year, after their districts were redrawn, Sachs and Bogdanoff are battling for a seat that is targeted by both parties.

Bogdanoff has a large fund-raising edge over Sachs. The Republican has received backing from a wide range of industries and business groups, such as retailers. Sachs supporters include trial lawyers and some union organizations.

The district’s boundaries would appear to benefit Sachs. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans, with Democratic gubernatorial candidate Alex Sink beating Scott in the area in 2010 and Obama beating GOP presidential candidate John McCain in 2008.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.