The latest Quinnipiac poll: Rick Scott 42%, Charlie Crist 42%, Adrian Wyllie 7%

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Women and men are polar opposites in the Florida governor’s race, as likely voters split 42 – 42 percent between Republican Gov. Rick Scott and former Gov. Charlie Crist, running as a Democrat, with 7 percent for Libertarian candidate Adrian Wyllie, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to results of a September 24 survey by Quinnipiac University, showing Gov. Scott with 44 percent of likely voters, Crist with 42 percent and Wyllie with 8 percent.

With Wyllie out of the race, Scott and Crist still are locked at 44 – 44 percent.

Men and women just about cancel each other out in the three-way matchup. Scott leads Crist among men 46 – 38 percent, with 10 percent for Wyllie, while Crist leads Scott 45 – 39 percent among women, with 6 percent for Wyllie.

Crist gets 41 percent of independent voters, to Scott’s 38 percent, with 11 percent for Wyllie. Republicans back Scott over Crist 81 – 7 percent, with 6 percent for Wyllie. Democrats go to Crist over Scott 86 – 5 percent, with 3 percent for Wyllie.

Among those who already have voted, Crist gets 42 percent to Scott’s 38 percent.

With 13 days until Election Day, 90 percent of voters who name a candidate say their mind is made up, while 10 percent say they might change their mind. Their mind is made up, say 92 percent of Crist voters, 90 percent of Scott supporters and 78 percent of Wyllie backers.

“When the campaign began, everyone talked about how unusual the Florida governor’s race would be because two governors, incumbent Gov. Rick Scott and former Gov. Charlie Crist, were facing off,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

“But, as it enters the home stretch, it’s just like many other races across the country: There is a sizable gender gap; tens of millions are being spent on negative TV ads and there is a dead heat in which neither candidate has an edge,” Brown added.

“For all the money spent on this race, it now appears the winner will be the one whose organization excels at the blocking and tackling of politics – getting their voters to the polls.”

Florida likely voters dislike Crist a little less than Scott and still don’t know much about Wyllie.

Crist gets a negative 42 – 47 percent favorability rating, compared to Scott’s negative 40 – 48 percent, while 83 percent of likely voters do not know enough about Wyllie to form an opinion of him.

“Will nice guys finish last in the Florida governor’s race? According to voters, there are no nice guys in this race, since neither Scott nor Crist are viewed favorably,” Brown said. “The Florida governor’s race challenges the idea that voters won’t vote for a candidate they don’t like. In the Sunshine State this year, voters definitely are voting for the lesser of two evils.”

From October 14 – 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 984 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including,,, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.