Mack Campaign says polling is inaccurate

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Rep. Connie Mack’s campaign is taking issue with media polls showing Sen. Bill Nelson with a double-digit lead in the Senate race, reports Nora McAlvanah of FLDemocracy2012.com

In a press release sent Wednesday, Mack’s campaign manager Jeff Cohen pointed to the differences between polls commissioned by the media and their internal polls.

Cohen said media polls are skewed in Nelson’s favor because the sample sizes are based on 2008 turnout models when Democrats turned out in record numbers.

“Virtually no objective pollster or pundit expects 2012 turnout to even closely reflect 2008’s aberration,” Cohen wrote. “Nevertheless some media outlets and Democrat-affiliated pollsters have released polls based on highly questionable Party Identification models that can serve no other purpose than to attempt to sway public opinion and voter enthusiasm.”

Cohen said the campaign’s internal polling indicates the race is a lot closer than the media surveys, although Mack still trails by 5.4 points.  “Connie has gained eight net points since our first general election survey that we conducted in mid-August,” Cohen said of their polling.

Cohen said 51 percent of respondents in their poll have seen one of Mack’s ads. “Among this group, Connie has vaulted into a commanding lead, and is ahead of Nelson 52-42,” Cohen wrote.

In the last few months, polls indicate the once-promising Senate pick-up opportunity for Republicans in Florida has grown more difficult, narrowing the GOP’s path to a majority.

Four polls released this month show Nelson with a 14-point lead: a NBC News/Marist College poll, a Fox News poll, a Washington Post poll, and a Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.