Mack campaign: 'We'll win by 1.4%'

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Rep. Connie Mack’s campaign predicted victory in the Senate race, saying in an e-mail Tuesday that internal polling and analysis has them “absolutely confident” Mack will win by 1.4 percent.

Despite polls showing Sen. Bill Nelson with a significant advantage, Mack’s campaign manager Jeff Cohen claimed that momentum is on their side. Cohen predicted final percentages on Election Night will be: “Connie Mack 49.1%, Bill Nelson 47.7%, and Others 3.2%.”

“Virtually every public poll shows that the race between Connie Mack and Bill Nelson has remained close and is now too close to call. Our own campaign’s internal data shows very similar and even stronger trends. Based on all the available data, we are absolutely confident that Connie Mack will win by 1.4% and will be Florida’s next U.S. Senator,” Cohen said in a release.

Nelson’s campaign isn’t buying Cohen’s math.  “Interesting, the first poll that shows Connie Mack IV leading this race is in his own head.  As we’ve always said, the only poll that matters is on Election Today.  And we’ll wait for the results on Tuesday,” Nelson spokesperson Dan McLaughlin said in response.

Mack took a break from the campaign trail on Tuesday to vote early at his Fort Myers polling location. The Republican congressman stood in line at the Lee County Elections Center off U.S 41, near Daniels Parkway.

“We feel good about where we are and where we’ll end up on Election Day,” Mack said outside the polling location. “We need to get people out to vote.”

Mack continues his bus tour this afternoon in Lake Wales, located southwest of Orlando. He’s scheduled to campaign Wednesday with Mitt Romney in Tampa, Miami and Jacksonville.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including,,, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.