Miami Dade County precinct analysis confirms exit poll conclusions on unprecedented Cuban-American support for Obama

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With final precinct results now available from the Miami-Dade County Division of Elections, an analysis of the top Hispanic precincts in Miami-Dade County confirms the exit poll findings from Bendixen & Amandi International, Edison Research, Pew Hispanic Center, NBC News and Fox News that a historic percentage of Cuban voters cast ballots for a Democratic candidate for President in the 2012 elections.

The analysis was performed by examining the 48 largest Hispanic precincts across Miami-Dade County, each with a minimum of 2500 Hispanic voters.  These precincts also have the highest concentration of Hispanic voters in the county (between 68% and 92%).

These precincts are located primarily in Hialeah, Westchester, Little Havana, Doral, Kendall and other predominately Cuban-American neighborhoods across Miami-Dade County.

The average of the Presidential vote in these 48 precincts is: Barack Obama 51% and Mitt Romney 49%.  The B&A exit poll of Cuban Americans had the following results: Mitt Romney 52% and Barack Obama 48%.

It should be noted that voters of Cuban origin account for approximately 75% of the Hispanic electorate in Miami-Dade County.

Bendixen & Amandi International conducted a statewide exit poll of more than 4800 Hispanic voters which revealed that President Obama secured 48% of the Cuban American vote in the state of Florida – an historic high for a Democratic Presidential candidate in Florida.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.