Model suggests Perry is strongest GOP candidate

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A new “bio-index forecasting model” from political scientists Andreas Grafe and Scott Armstrong (via The Political Wire) finds that Rick Perry is the only current Republican presidential candidate who can beat President Obama in the 2012 election.

The model uses 58 biographical factors — such as age, marital status, height, appearance, having published a book — for predicting presidential elections. The authors claim their model has correctly found the winner of 27 of the past 29 elections.

Ezra Klein: “If you look at the paper, you’ll see that Mitt Romney is barely ranked as a stronger candidate than Michele Bachmann, and that’s enough for me to pretty much discount this model totally.”

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including,,, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.