As a sea of data about early and absentee voting patterns threatens to drown out other media coverage of Florida’s gubernatorial race, a new survey from St. Pete Polls provides a stream of new numbers that may only further confuse those looking to make sense of it all.
Crist leading Scott in his home county isn’t much of a surprise, but…
The partisan sample in this poll is +4.7 Republican. For Crist to be up ten points in a poll with that much of a GOP advantage does say something.
What’s also interesting is that this poll is made up of 53% of voters who say they have already cast their ballot. Pinellas County is leading the state in returned mail ballots.
Most interesting of all is the crosstabs showing Crist keeping 80% of his Democratic base, while Scott retains only 68% of Republican voters. Perhaps a smarter person than me can unskew the numbers and figure out where the race is in Pinellas when you factor in the number and composition of returned ballots with these poll numbers (hello, Marc Caputo!)
Like I said, we are drowning in a sea of data.
