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New poll says 42% of Republicans expect Donald Trump to be their presidential nominee

in 2017/Top Headlines by

Donald Trump leads the GOP presidential field in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll released Wednesday. That’s not unusual, as he’s dominated the race since July.

What is noteworthy is how many Republicans — 42 percent — believe he will be the party’s nominee at their convention next summer in Cleveland. The next best choice is Ben Carson, with 15 percent support, followed by Jeb Bush at 12 percent and Marco Rubio at 5 percent.

And given a list of six potential nominees, 43 percent pick Trump as having the best chance to win the general election. The rest? Carson 16 percent, Bush 13 percent, Rubio 11 percent, Cruz 4 percent, Fiorina 3 percent.

In terms of where the party is now, Trump leads with 32 percent nationally, 10 percent more than the next best candidate, Carson, who is at 22 percent. Marco Rubio is at 10 percent. Jeb Bush is at 7 percent. Ted Cruz at 6 percent, and Carly Fiorina at 5 percent.

The poll was conducted between October 15-18 in English and Spanish, among a random sample of 1,001 adults, including 423 leaning Republicans. There is a sampling error of 3.5 percent among all adults, and 5.5 percent among leaning Republicans.

Mitch Perry has been a reporter with Extensive Enterprises since November of 2014. Previously, he served as five years as the political editor of the alternative newsweekly Creative Loafing. He also was the assistant news director with WMNF 88.5 FM in Tampa from 2000-2009, and currently hosts MidPoint, a weekly talk show, on WMNF on Thursday afternoons. He began his reporting career at KPFA radio in Berkeley. He's a San Francisco native who has now lived in Tampa for 15 years and can be reached at mitch.perry@floridapolitics.com.

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