Is Greenlight Pinellas in trouble?

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With 56 days until Election Day, support for Greenlight Pinellas continues its downward slide among Pinellas County residents.

According to a new survey released by StPetePolls, 46 percent of voters now oppose the transit referendum, while approval sits at 38 percent.

The Aug. 26 poll, commissioned by rail-opponent No Tax For Tracks, represents a complete reversal from a similar survey taken June 4, showing 48-45 percent support. However, at the time, those numbers also seemed to signal a decline in backing for the initiative.

StPetePolls asked 1,862 likely Pinellas County voters if they plan to vote for Greenlight in November. The plan asks for an additional one-percent sales tax, an increase from 7 to 8 percent, to be used for upgraded bus service countywide and the construction of a light-rail corridor from St. Petersburg to Clearwater Beach.

Nearly one in four respondents — 38 percent — said yes to the sales surtax; while almost half (48 percent) said no; just under 17 percent were unsure.

In the survey, attitudes on Greenlight fall roughly along partisan lines, with more than 60 percent of Republicans opposed and 12 percent undecided, just about the same percentage as in the June survey.

Democrats, however, seem to be losing interest in the proposal, demonstrated by a significant drop in support. In June, Democrats backed Greenlight by more than 60 percent. Now, support has dropped to just under 49 percent, with 17 percent undecided.

Independents are also souring on the idea, with 35 percent approving and 42 percent against it; 22 percent are undecided. In June, it was 47 percent approve and 45 percent opposed.

The poll of likely voters has a margin of error +/- 2.3 percent at 95 percent confidence level. Results were weighted reflect demographics of registered voter populations in Pinellas County.

Phil Ammann is a St. Petersburg-based journalist and blogger. With more than three decades of writing, editing and management experience, Phil produced material for both print and online, in addition to founding HRNewsDaily.com. His broad range includes covering news, local government and culture reviews for Patch.com, technical articles and profiles for BetterRVing Magazine and advice columns for a metaphysical website, among others. Phil has served as a contributor and production manager for SaintPetersBlog since 2013. He lives in St. Pete with his wife, visual artist Margaret Juul and can be reached at phil@floridapolitics.com and on Twitter @PhilAmmann.