New Q-poll of Florida: Obama 46%, Romney 42%

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A shift by independent voters gives President Barack Obama a 46 – 42 percent lead over Republican Gov. Mitt Romney in the Sunshine State, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll.

Obama’s lead reflects the coalition that elected him four years ago.  He carries women 49 – 39 percent, African-Americans 91 – 5 percent and voters 18 to 34 years old 55 – 28 percent.  Obama also leads 48 – 41 percent among voters 35 to 54 years old.  Men split 44 – 45 percent.  Romney carries white voters 50 – 37 percent and voters over 55 years old 48 – 43 percent.

Independent voters shift from 44 – 36 percent for Romney in a May 23 Quinnipiac University poll, showing Romney ahead 47 – 41 percent overall, to 46 – 37 percent for Obama today.  In today’s results, Obama carries Democrats 88 – 4 percent, while Romney takes Republicans 91 – 5 percent.

While Florida voters say 48 – 44 percent that Romney would do a better job on the economy, they split 45 – 45 percent on who would create more jobs and say 49 – 44 percent that Obama would do more “to advance the economic interests of middle class Americans.”

“The president is doing better among independent voters,” said Brown.  “It also is worth noting that the last Quinnipiac University Florida poll was on the heels of the president’s backing of gay marriage, which might have hurt him at that time.

“At this point, Romney is not well-defined in the minds of many voters, especially those in the middle.  This movement reflects that uncertainty among voters who are up for grabs.”

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.