New PPP poll: Charlie Crist 49%, Rick Scott 42%

in Uncategorized by

If you needed a salt shaker with the results of the Sunshine State News poll released yesterday showing Rick Scott leading Charlie Crist, you may need an entire canister of Morton’s to go along with Public Policy Polling’s latest survey of Florida’s gubernatorial race.

PPP, in a poll commissioned for the progressive group MoveOn.org, has Crist leading Scott by seven points, 49% to 42%, but the party breakdown in the poll doesn’t jive with what turnout looks like in Florida during a midterm election. This poll is comprised of 44% Democrats, 39% Republican, 17% Independent. That scenario is very wishful thinking for Dems in a non-presidential cycle. 

Of course, the Sunshine State News poll had its own problems, including an oversampling of voters sixty-five years or older, which is the one cohort with which Scott runs strong. It also showed Scott leading Crist among Hispanics, which most political observers, including Republicans, doubt is the reality.

PPP’s automated polls were part of a series the group did to gauge Medicaid approval in Florida and other battleground states.

Fifty-eight percent of Floridians think Scott and Co. should accept federal funding to expand Medicaid coverage, while 33% do not. 

Crist’s support of expanding Medicaid is a +9 winner for him as 42% of Floridians are more likely to support him because he supports accepting federal dollars to expand the program. For Scott, it’s an eleven-point loser.

***Update – 8:56 a.m.***Scottworld isn’t giving much credence to the PPP poll. Via Kevin Derby at Sunshine State News:

“This polling doesn’t pass the common sense test,” said Greg Blair, a spokesman for the Scott campaign. “A Democratic pollster, working for a Democratic attack group, not only found Charlie Crist winning in Florida, but also claims Republicans are losing noncompetitive races in Kansas and Georgia. Despite the outlandish claims made in this polling, Charlie Crist will continue to be weighed down by the disaster known as Obamacare and his support for the policies of a deeply unpopular president.”

Blair also took a shot at PPP’s polls of the special congressional election in Pinellas County last month.

“And if you think PPP is an accurate outfit, please call Congresswoman Sink’s office for her response,” added Blair.

Here is the polling document from PPP:

[scribd id=216793495 key=key-23h84c2io49ukhfwp4uc mode=scroll]

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.