Obama opens up wide lead in new Quinnipiac poll

in Uncategorized by

President Obama has opened up a wider lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney among Florida voters, a new poll released Wednesday by Quinnipiac University found, reports David Royse of the News Service of Florida.

Obama leads Romney 53-44 percent in the Quinnipiac University/CBS News/ New York Times swing state poll, compared to a much slimmer 49-46 margin in a poll taken Aug. 23 before either party had held its nominating convention.

The survey also gauged the electorate in two other swing states, Ohio and Pennsylvania, and found the president opening up wider leads there as well. Obama was the leader in Ohio 53-43 percent and 54-42 percent in Pennsylvania in the survey of likely voters.

The poll, taken Sept. 18-24, surveyed 1,196 Florida likely voters, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percent.

It came on the heels of some remarks Romney had made about the electorate earlier in the year being made public. In the recorded remarks, Romney said he wouldn’t ever be able to get the votes of 47 percent of the population, which, he said, viewed government help as an entitlement that they wouldn’t give up, and implying that people who don’t pay income tax – about half of Americans – were the same part of the population, and wanted to keep it that way.

Romney “had a bad week in the media and it shows in these key swing states,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “The furor over his 47 percent remark almost certainly is a major factor in the roughly double-digit leads … Obama has in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. The debates may be Romney’s best chance to reverse the trend in his favor.

“The wide difference between the two candidates is not just a result of Romney’s bad week,” Brown continued. “In Ohio and Florida votes are basically split down the middle on whether the country and they and their families are worse or better off than they were four years ago. If voters don’t think they are worse off, it is difficult to see them throwing out an incumbent whose personal ratings with voters remain quite high.”

Women polled in Florida backed Obama 58-39 percent, while men were a closer split, liking Romney by a 50-47 percent margin. Obama leads among Florida Hispanic voters 58-39 percent. Among crucial independents, whom Romney has made his main target, however, he is leading, 49 to 46 percent in Florida.

Slightly over half of Florida voters say they’re either very confident or somewhat confident in Obama’s decision making on the Middle East, well ahead of the 46 percent who say that about Romney.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.