Pinellas Democrats have seen a 10K net gain in voter registration since 2008; will that be enough to reverse losing trend?

in Uncategorized by

Based on an analysis of voter data in Pinellas County comparing voter party registration at the start of the 2008 presidential primary to the same period in 2012, the number of Republicans has declined by 11,356 voters, while the number of registered Democrats has stayed relatively the same, with a loss of just 1,365 voters.

In 2008, Republicans held an advantage of 3,572 voters over Democrats in Pinellas but now Democrats have a 6,419 voter edge.

In the 2008 and 2010 elections, Democrats lost several elected offices in Pinellas, despite gaining a voter registration advantage. Will this continue in 2012 or will reverse this trend?

Look at the numbers:

2008 – Pres Pref. Rep: 230,434
2008 – Pres Pref. Dem: 226,862

That’s a difference of +3,572 Republicans (source here.)

2012 – Pres. Pref. Rep: 219,078
2012 – Pres. Pref. Dem: 225,497

That’s a difference of +6,419 Democrats according to votepinellas.com as of December 30, 2011.

The voter registration deadline for the Presidential Preference Election is January 3, 2012.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.