Poll: Buckhorn would best all comers, except Iorio; little support for taxes-for-Rays-stadium

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Instead of a tale of two cities, the latest survey results from St. Pete Polls suggests Tampa is a tale of two mayors.

On one hand, there is the very popular Bob Buckhorn, comfortably ahead of almost every conceivable challenger.

On the other hand, there is a current mayor — Buckhorn — who’s not as popular as his predecessor and whose ‘big idea’ — building a stadium (with some tax dollars) to lure the Rays from St. Petersburg is a non-starter with most voters.

St. Pete Polls surveyed registered voters in the City of Tampa on August 15 and found:

Buckhorn all but laps all of the possible challengers tested against him, including Rose Ferlita, whom Buckhorn defeated in 2011 to win the Mayor’s Office. Against Ferlita, Buckhorn is favored 62 – 20 percent; against David Straz, Buckhorn leads 64 – 14 percent; against Jan Plattm it’s 59 – 21 percent for Buckhorn. Even against popular State Representative Dana Young, Buckhorn wins handily, 64 – 14 percent.

Where Buckhorn would run into trouble is if former Mayor Pam Iorio ever wanted to run again. In that remote scenario, Buckhorn and Iorio are tied at 41 percent each.

Also polled was the idea of using taxpayer dollars to pay for a new stadium for the Tampa Bay Rays. This is a non-starter with 56% of Tampa voters, while 36% agree with the idea.

Drilling down further into this issue, voters were asked how they would like to see the oft-cited $100 million Buckhorn, Ken Hagan and other say would be available to help build a stadium spent. Only 12% of voters would like to see the money spent on a new stadium, while 31% would like to see the money earmarked for solving the city’s homelessness issues, while 27% wold like to see the money  spent on transportation projects.

The poll was conducted by an automated phone call polling system. The results were then weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents’ demographics and the
demographics of the registered voter population within the city of Tampa. The demographics used were: party, race and age.

The voters polled were chosen at random within the registered voter population within the city of  Tampa. 

The scientific results shown in the summary below have a sample size of 584 respondents and a margin of error of 4.1% at a 95% confidence level.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.