PPP poll: Bill Nelson's vulnerability overrated

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It seems like just about every cycle there’s a Senator who a lot of noise is made about the vulnerability of who turns out to be just fine. For the 2012 cycle I think that’s Bill Nelson.

Yes Nelson’s approval numbers are under 50%. But that’s because Democrats aren’t in love with him. Earlier this month Quinnipiac found his overall approval at 45%. That’s because only 55% of Democrats gave him good marks. At the same time though he had 37% approval from Republicans- well above average- and also 44% approval with independents, twice the number that disapproved of him.

Those trends are very similar to what we found for Nelson the last time we polled on him in mid-December. We had him at only 36% approval, with 33% disapproving. That low topline approval number was largely due to his being at only 45% with Democrats, but there too we found him at an unusually strong for our polling 23% with Republicans and above ground with independents at 42/36.

Here’s the thing about Nelson’s low numbers within his own party- the overwhelming majority of Democrats who don’t approve of him are going to vote for him next fall. Nelson doesn’t have terribly high

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.