According to Rep. Patrick McHenry, the National Republican Congressional Committee vice chairman for recruitment, Democrat Rep. Patrick Murphy will be tough to beat in 2014 unless prospective opponents are prepared to raise $3 to $5 million to be viable against him.
According to the Palm Beach Post, McHenry met last week with potential contenders including former state House Majority Leader Adam Hasner, businessman Gary Uber, Rep. Gayle Harrell, former state Rep. Carl Domino, and St. Lucie County Commissioner Tod Mowery, hammering the message that the district requires a Republican who can “go toe-to-toe on the fundraising side and have grass-roots support.”
Murphy raised more than $4.7 million in 2012 when he narrowly defeated Rep. Allen West, and currently has greater than $672,000 in cash on hand for re-election.
Says the PBP, of the Republicans cited above and a few others, only Hasner has comparable fundraising prowess, having raised about $3.4 million in 2012 in his run against Rep. Lois Frankel.
In order to leave enough time for fundraising, the eventual Republican opponent would have to launch a campaign by the “late third quarter” ending in September.
That said, the district is not unfriendly for Republicans. It is only one of nine House districts in the nation, and the only one in Florida that leaned toward Mitt Romney in 2012 while also electnig a Democrat to its House district.
The PBP reported that McHenry also visited Miami, where “Republicans hope to reclaim the seat that Rep. Joe Garcia won from Republican David Rivera last year.”