Reader feedback: Crist and Sink WOULD NOT drive “near-presidential” turnout

in Uncategorized by

A loyal reader has taken umbrage with my assertion that Charlie Crist and/or Alex Sink on the ballot in 2014 would drive voter turnout to “near-presidential levels.

This helpful reader supplied the following statistics:

In 2006 — with Crist, Sink and Jim Davis on the ballot — turnout in Pinellas was 47.6; in Hillsborough, it was 46.0%.

In 2008 — a presidential year — turnout in Pinellas was 72.8%; in Hillsborough it was 73.6%

And in 2010 — with both Crist and Sink on the ballot in a non-presidential year — turnout in Pinellas was 51.2%; in Hillsborough, it was 47.7%.

In other words, I have no clue what I am talking about.

Even if a groundswell of support turned out for Crist and/or Sink in 2014, turnout would have to improve by twenty to twenty-five percent to match turnout in a presidential year. No one is more enthusiastic about Charlie Crist than me, but even I recognize that’s not going to happen.

That said, I do believe you will see turnout in both Pinellas and Hillsborough above the 50% mark, perhaps even as high as 55%. Still, that’s a long way away from Obama-esque numbers.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.