Rep. Jose Javier Rodriguez struggles in HD 112, still five points behind Daniel Diaz Leyva

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Voters are giving Republican candidate Daniel Diaz Leyva a five-point advantage over Democratic incumbent state Rep. Jose Javier Rodriguez in the House District 112 race, according to a new survey from StPetePolls.

Rodriguez, who won the seat by only 7 percent in 2012, is currently struggling against Leyva, a well-funded and well-connected Miami attorney.

In an Oct. 14 poll, Leyva, received just over 49 percent, while Rodriguez took 44 percent, with a little more than 6 percent saying they are undecided.

HD 112 is a swing district that leans on Cuban exile politics. Once again, the region including Coconut Grove, Brickell, the Roads and sections of Coral Gables and Little Havana it is in play for 2014.

In addition to strong GOP support (83 percent), Leyva also siphons off more than 13 percent of Democrats, and 47 percent of Independents.

Rodriguez, in comparison, receives almost 80 percent of the Democratic base, 12 percent of Republicans and 45 percent of independents.

In the governor’s race, HD 112 likely voters give Republican Gov. Rick Scott a lead of 8 points over Republican-turned-Democrat Charlie Crist, a 51-42 margin. Libertarian Adrian Wyllie received less than 4 percent and another 4 percent remain undecided.

StPetePolls used an automated phone call system to get a sample size of 237 likely voters in HD 112. The poll, commissioned by SaintPetersBlog, took names of registered from voter lists supplied by the state of Florida as of Sept. 4. Results have a margin of error of +/- 6.4 points and a 95 percent confidence level.

Phil Ammann is a St. Petersburg-based journalist and blogger. With more than three decades of writing, editing and management experience, Phil produced material for both print and online, in addition to founding HRNewsDaily.com. His broad range includes covering news, local government and culture reviews for Patch.com, technical articles and profiles for BetterRVing Magazine and advice columns for a metaphysical website, among others. Phil has served as a contributor and production manager for SaintPetersBlog since 2013. He lives in St. Pete with his wife, visual artist Margaret Juul and can be reached at phil@floridapolitics.com and on Twitter @PhilAmmann.