SD 34 race remains deadlocked: Maria Sachs 49%, Ellyn Bogdanoff 48%

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A new poll finds incumbent Democrat Maria Sachs and Republican Ellyn Bogdanoff deadlocked by just over a single point in the bitter Senate District 34 race.

The survey, taken Oct. 29 by StPetePolls, shows Bogdanoff, the Fort Lauderdale Republican, falling slightly behind the Democratic incumbent 49 to 48 percent – 1.3 points, to be exact — with under 2 percent undecided.

The race is within the poll’s margin of error.

SD 34 numbers compare to a Sept. 29 poll where Bogdanoff led by only three-tenths of a point, 46.6 to 46.3 percent.

As far as partisan breakdown, Bogdanoff and Sachs are also somewhat equally matched. Sachs gets 83 percent of her Democratic base, takes 12 percent of Republicans and 49 percent of independents. Bogdanoff gets a little more support of her base (86 percent), 14 percent of Democrats and 47 percent of independents.

Redistricting in 2012 put Bogdanoff and Sachs, both sitting State Senators at the time, squaring off in the district covering Broward and Palm Beach Counties. Sachs then won by six points in what was then an expensive and antagonistic campaign.

In the governor’s race, Charlie Crist continues to lead in SD 34, traditionally a Democratic-leaning region, but has lost some ground since September. The former Republican governor, now running for his old job as a Democrat, has five-point advantage over incumbent Republican Gov. Rick Scott, by 49 to 44 percent.

Libertarian Adrian Wyllie received just over 5 percent, while less than 2 percent were undecided.

In September, Crist’s lead was at seven points, 48 to 41 percent for Scott.

StPetePolls selected random voters within the registered voter population of SD 34. Only those voters planning to vote and who participated in the 2010 and 2012 general elections were included in the results.

The survey, commissioned by SaintPetersBlog, used a sample size of 994 active voters, having +/- 3.1 percent margin of error and 95 percent confidence level.

 

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.