Republican former state Rep. Shawn Harrison is holding tight to a 12-point lead over state Rep. Mark Danish in House District 63, according to a recent St. Pete Polls survey.
In the poll of 413 likely voters taken Oct. 28, Harrison leads Democratic incumbent Danish among likely voters 53 percent to 41 percent; 6 percent remain undecided. That mirrors a similar poll taken two weeks earlier, which gave Harrison a 13-point lead on Oct. 14.
District 63 covers Tampa and other parts of Hillsborough County.
Matt Florell of StPetePolls said he weighed both polls with a slight Republican edge, using the same turnout model from 2010. Final numbers are likely to change, especially if Democrats are successful in their improved push for increased participation. This is particularly true in HD 63, a district with a higher population of young, more liberal voters from the USF campus, who seem energized by outside activist groups such as NextGen Climate.
HD 63 also continues to give Gov. Rick Scott a double-digit lead over Democratic opponent Charlie Crist, 50 to 40 percent. Libertarian Adrian Wylie is polling here at 8 percent, and just under four percent are undecided.
Commissioned by SaintPetersBlog, the Oct. 28 StPetePolls survey called on randomly chosen registered voters based on lists supplied by the state of Florida as of Sept. 4. The results have a margin of error of 4.8 percent.