Shawn Harrison pulls slightly ahead of Mark Danish in race to retake HD 63

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Former State Rep. Shawn Harrison is pulling slightly ahead of incumbent state Rep. Mark Danish in his race to retake House District 63, according to new polling released by StPetePolls.

In the July 15 survey of likely voters, commissioned by SaintPetersBlog, the Tampa Republican leads Democrat Danish — who defeated him in 2012 — by a 44-40 margin, just within the poll’s margin of error.

Harrison receives overwhelming support of Republican voters (84 percent) and takes another 14 percent of Democrats; Danish enjoys somewhat less backing from base voters — only 68 percent – and just 7 percent of GOP voters. Nearly 18 percent of Democrats are undecided, compared to almost 9 percent of Republicans.

Independents are also breaking for Harrison, by a 42-38 margin, with 20 percent undecided.

Men are  leaning slightly to Harrison, by a single-point difference of 44-43 percent; women give Harrison 44 percent support versus 37 for Danish.

Voters in District 63, which covers north Hillsborough County, also prefer incumbent Gov. Rick Scott by 3 points over likely Democratic nominee Charlie Crist, 44-41 percent. “Someone Else” came in third, with 6 percent, followed by Libertarian Adrian Wyllie, who received 3 percent. Nearly 7 percent of likely voters say they are still undecided.

Getting the thumbs up from HD 63 voters is Amendment 2, a proposal to legalize medical marijuana in November, with 66-30 percent approval. Amendment 2 needs a minimum of 60 percent voter support to pass. Just under 4 percent are undecided.

Respondents in HD 63 were chosen at random from registered voter population as of June 6. Only those voters who said they were planning to cast ballots included in the results.

For the sample size of 315 registered, likely voters, the poll has a +/- 5.5 percent margin of error at 95 percent confidence level.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.