It’s said that New Hampshire is the graveyard for pollsters; is it true for oddsmakers also?
Sports Betting Dime laid odds for Donald Trump on the GOP side and Bernie Sanders on the Dem side, and Trump is “favored” by 13.5 and Sanders by 14.5… a slightly more bearish read than most of the recent polls.
Odds are laid for the winner also.
Donald Trump at 2/5 doesn’t promise a lot of return. Marcomentum is as 3/1, with Ted Cruzat 6/1 and Jeb Bush at 8/1, and everyone else an even more prohibitive long shot.
Hillary Clinton, at 7/1, may be the most attractive bet, if you think the Florida contingent that went up for Clinton (such as Tampa Mayor Bob Buckhorn) was uniquely persuasive.
Some fun Prop Bets: 7/1 odds that Trump says something sexist during his post-results speech; 9/1 odds that Sanders mentions Clinton’s emails; 3/1 odds on Trump wearing a red tie.
The odds also suggest that New Hampshire will not predict the winner of either party’s nomination: 3 to 1 odds that the NH winner gets the Republican nod sound wide, but are dwarfed on the Dem side, where the spread is 8 to 1.
The odds favor Rubio as the GOP nominee (3 to 2), but the Field Bet at 50 to 1 will appeal to fans of the brokered convention theory.
There is no such field bet for the Dem candidates, which suggests odds makers don’t think there is a chance of a Clinton FBI indictment, a persistent rumor from the fever swamps of the right.
