Steve Schale crunches the Congressional reapportionment numbers

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Steve Schale has an extended post onhis blog in which he crunches the Congressional reapportionment numbers. Here is an excerpt:

…before getting into specific district-level data, if is noteworthy that there doesn? appear to be any significant correlation between a decrease in white resident population share or increase in Hispanic resident population share and the total growth of the district. The only real generalization worth making is districts with a higher proportion of minority or ethnic residents tend to have lower growth rates. So here are a few top line findings:

  • When the state goes from 25 to 27 districts, 17 current districts will shrink in population, while 8 will have to grow.
  • Of the 25 districts, 15 saw the proportion of non-white residents increase more than the statewide average. The biggest change: Rep. Dan Webster (CD-8), which saw non-white residents grow from 31.1% to 51.4%. The smallest change: Rep. Southerland, (CD-2) which saw only a 5% change in overall racial/ethnic make-up
  • Every district saw an increase Hispanic population share. 12 districts were over the statewide average, with the biggest change (21% of the population to 31%) seen in Rep. Wasserman Schultz? (CD-20) district.
  • Seventeen districts saw their black population share grow faster than the state average. The biggest increase, CD 19 (Deutch). The district with the most black residents: CD 17 (Wilson)
  • The most-diverse district: CD 25 (Rivera), which is also the district with the most Hispanic residents. The least diverse district: CD 10 (Young).
  • Interestingly, 37% of Hispanics live in one of the three Hispanic majority districts, and 37% of Blacks live in one of the three Black majority districts.
  • 58.9% of all Florida residents are registered voters. CD 1 has the highest proportion of registered voters (68%), while CD 25 has the lowest (45.8%).

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.