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2016 presidential race

Polling misfires to be explored after unexpected Donald Trump win

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Donald Trump‘s victory came as a surprise to many Americans, the nation’s pollsters most of all. Heading into Election Day, most national surveys overstated what will likely be a narrow popular vote advantage for Hillary Clinton and led many to believe she was a shoo-in to win the Electoral College. “The polls clearly got it wrong this time,” the American Association for Public Opinion Research said Wednesday in a statement. The association traditionally assesses the state of public polling after…

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Donald Trump takes triumphant tour of Washington, has cordial meeting with Barack Obama

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President-elect Donald Trump took a triumphant tour of the nation’s capital Thursday, holding a cordial White House meeting with President Barack Obama, sketching out priorities with Republican congressional leaders and taking in the majestic view from where he’ll be sworn into office. Trump’s meeting with Obama spanned 90 minutes, longer than originally scheduled. Obama said he was “encouraged” by Trump’s willingness to work with his team during the transition of power, and the Republican called the president a “very good…

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Tom Jackson: Blindsided by a phenomenon in orange

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And now, President-elect Donald J. Trump. Wow. Wow. Wow. So much for that 0.1 percent chance of victory. So much for blue tsunamis and Republican humiliation. So much for the first woman president and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer. So much for experts. It turns out, the hotshots knew nothing. Not a damn thing. Pre-election pollsters. Exit pollsters. Coastal pundits. Cable news talking heads. Every last one of them was Sgt. Schultz. They knew nothing https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UmzsWxPLIOo. They were blindsided. The…

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Hillary Clinton at 46%, Donald Trump at 45% in new Florida poll

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Just one point percentage separates Hillary Clinton from Donald Trump in the Sunshine State. A new Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday shows a tight race in Florida. The survey of likely voters shows 46 percent support for Clinton, compared to 45 percent who back Trump. Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein both received 2 percent support. The survey of 626 likely Florida voters was conducted Oct. 27 through Nov. 1. It has a margin of error of…

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GOP faces obstacle in motivating Hispanic voters: Donald Trump

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Berta Delgado told the Spanish-speaking conservative activists at her door that she is “100 por ciento” Republican, and agreed with their assessment that Democratic Senate candidate Patrick Murphy is too liberal. She said she’d vote for Sen. Marco Rubio. That is, if she votes. Delgado said she’s so disgusted by the presidential race that she might stay home in bed on Election Day. A few blocks away in the same Cuban-American enclave, Ernesto Gil assured the activists that he, too,…

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Joe Henderson: Buckle up, Hillsborough, you’re the big political prize

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Earlier this week, NBC political chief Chuck Todd was chatting with Republican strategist Jeff Roe, picking out three places around the country where election geeks should focus special attention. Hillsborough County topped the list. Are we surprised? Todd noted that Roe considered it “the bellwether county in the country” and added, “you could make that argument.” As if we needed any reinforcement why both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have made campaign stops this week in Tampa, there’s your answer.…

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Analysis: Rigged election claims may leave lasting damage

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Donald Trump keeps peddling the notion the vote may be rigged. It’s unclear whether he understands the potential damage of his words, or simply doesn’t care. Trump’s claim, made without evidence, undercuts the essence of American democracy, the idea that U.S. elections are free and fair, with the vanquished peacefully stepping aside for the victor. His repeated assertions are sowing suspicion among his most ardent supporters, raising the possibility that millions of people may not accept the results on Nov.…

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