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Geoffrey Skelley

2016 presidential election predictions we can already make

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In the past few decades, swing states, once major wild cards in presidential politics, are becoming scarcer. When Florida decided the 2000 election with 537 votes, 12 states helped elect the president by less than five percentage points. In 2012, the number of swing states dropped to four. For today’s Electoral College, 40 of 50 states have voted for the same party in all four elections since 2000, says Larry Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley in today’s POLITICO. Of the…

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