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Steve Schale: Florida early vote, a retrospective

in 2017/Top Headlines by

It is time for one last big data piece on Florida 2016. For about 18 hours a day over 2+ weeks, I found myself living and breathing early voting data. So now that all the data have been reported from counties, I wanted to look back at some assumptions, and compare them to the actual voting data. Before I begin, there are five things to keep in mind: 1. Every time I talk in percentages, those percentages are relative to…

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In White House math, certain places offer clues on outcome

in 2017/Top Headlines by

Did Donald Trump succeed in at last winning over college-educated whites uneasy with the billionaire reality TV star? Did he drive a wave of working-class white voters? Did Hillary Clinton rebuild Barack Obama‘s winning coalition – young voters, urban liberals and minorities – while picking off moderate Republicans? Those questions are central to who will win Tuesday’s presidential election, and a handful of locales could provide some early answers on election night. The Associated Press has identified 10 counties seen…

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Steve Schale: Notes on Election Day in Florida

in 2017/Top Headlines by

To: Anyone who has been reading my memos, Putin included. From: Steve Schale Re: We survived, and genuine thanks from me. First, thank you all for following along for the last two weeks. This memo isn’t going to be a big data dump. For those, you can go back and read the other 12 versions of this thing. But I want to start with a couple of numbers. First: 67. That is the percentage of the electorate that was white…

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Steve Schale: Final notes on early voting in Florida

in 2017/Top Headlines by

To: The tired, poor, huddled masses yearning to be free of 2016 From: Steve Schale, Florida Sherpa Re: It is almost drinkin’ time I usually do a timeline here, but since I can’t even imagine life in a post-2016 election cycle world, I am simply going to say, Thank God America, we have damn near made it. Like the weed that I can’t get to stop growing up the side of my backyard fence, admit it, you thought this would…

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Steve Schale: Notes on the 11th day of early voting in Florida

in 2017/Top Headlines by

To: A tired, weary nation, and the Trump tech guys in Macedonia From: Steve Schale, Florida Man Re: Why in the world did I start doing these? *1 day since the leader of the free world did the #swoop at UNF. *4 days until the election. *6 days until I am home for a nice long time. *8 days until FSU basketball tips off. *106 days until pitchers and catchers. *131 days to get your NCAA basketball bracket complete —…

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Steve Schale: Notes on the tenth day of early voting in Florida

in 2017/Top Headlines by

To: Curious Americans and President Vladimir Putin From: Steve Schale, Proud FloridaMan Re: 5 Days out — and eight years later, POTUS returns to Duval *5 days until the election. *7 days until the first Thursday after the election. *9 days until FSU basketball tips off. *23 days until the Tallahassee Turkey Trot 15K. *113 days until Daytona 500. Welcome to the last Thursday, and before I begin, a note to Democrats: REALLY? What are you waiting for? Return those ballots! So, beginning today with a point of…

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Steve Schale: Notes on the first day of early voting in Florida

in 2017/Top Headlines by

Dear friends and casual Twitter followers: It is Florida election memo time! I know you all are excited. Fourteen days left. If Jaguars fans can survive the Gus Bradley era, America can do 14 days of this. Also of note: 18 days until FSU basketball tips off. So here are some notes on the first day of in-person early voting: Frankly, for fans of the home team, it’s all good news. Democrats entered the day down after about two weeks…

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