Real Clear Politics composite: Bill McCollum 43%, Alex Sink 35.2%
Attorney General Bill McCollum sports a 7.8% lead over Alex Sink in the RCP Average, and leads by nine, according to Mason Dixon. Sink has led in exactly one poll this cycle, so you have to consider McCollum the favorite, though not prohibitively so. This assumes, of course, that McCollum doesn’t get upended in the September primary by his two unknown GOP opponents.
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