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Steve Schale: Florida 2016 in the rear view mirror

in 2017/Top Headlines by

Give any Florida strategist with statewide experience the following data points: by 7:15 p.m., the Democratic candidate has a 10-point lead in Hillsborough, a 100K vote lead in Orange, a 200K vote lead in both Dade and Broward early voting, and is ahead in Duval, and everyone would think the same thing: that Democratic candidate is going to win. Certainly, that is what I thought, and what everyone, R and D, who texted me around that time thought too. Back in October, I had looked at several different…

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Game Change: The story behind Charlie Crist’s betrayal of Rudy Giuliani

in Statewide by

Update: David Frum suggests: Rudy Giuliani’s decision to endorse Marco Rubio in the hotly contested Florida senatorial primary may be more than an act of revenge. By backing a candidate that has little overlap with the brand of Republicanism that he embodies, Rudy may be signaling that he’s given up on ever running for office again. Here’s the excerpt from Game Change that explains the Crist-Rudy debacle: McCain had endorsed Crist in his primary fight; Giuliani had remained neutral. Crist…

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Game Change: The story behind Charlie Crist’s betrayal of Rudy Giuliani

in Statewide by

Update: David Frum suggests: Rudy Giuliani’s decision to endorse Marco Rubio in the hotly contested Florida senatorial primary may be more than an act of revenge. By backing a candidate that has little overlap with the brand of Republicanism that he embodies, Rudy may be signaling that he’s given up on ever running for office again. Here’s the excerpt from Game Change that explains the Crist-Rudy debacle: McCain had endorsed Crist in his primary fight; Giuliani had remained neutral. Crist…

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Is Charlie Crist running for Senate or VP?

in Statewide by

Obviously, the current Florida governor is running for Senate, but give me a chance to explain my thoughts on the vice presidency. [Then you can decide whether the link between the two is a stretch.] First, we’ll need to assume a couple of things. For starters, everything below assumes that the primary calendar and rules will remain virtually unchanged between now and January 2012. We can argue all day about the likelihood of major reforms to the primary process, but…

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