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Debbie Wasserman Schultz would make history were she to lose party chair and re-election in same year

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Outgoing DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz is facing the strongest challenge of her congressional career back home in South Florida from Democrat Tim Canova. And if Wasserman Schultz is unsuccessful in the Aug. 30 primary, a new Smart Politics report finds that she will be only the second party leader – either Democratic or Republican – to lose both a position as chair and elected office in the same year. It will be the first such occurrence in 150 years,…

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Gwen Graham becomes second freshman Florida U.S. representative to retire after single term

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Gwen Graham’s decision to leave Congress after one term could land her in the history books. According to a Smart Politics analysis, Graham is the second member of the U.S. House Representatives from Florida to retire after one term. The report, released Thursday night, said Graham’s decision to “step away from Congress after one term goes down as a rarity in the annals of Florida political history.” “Since statehood in 1845, a total of 136 Floridians have served in the…

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Candidates no longer in prez race take 229K votes in primaries; Jeb Bush leads with 88K

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For Jeb Bush, his presidential aspirations may be over, but not in the hearts of many of his more strident supporters. For the primaries and caucuses in 2016, nearly a quarter-million votes have been cast so far for 11 of the 13 Republicans who have already exited the race, including Bush, Ben Carson, Rand Paul, and Mike Huckabee. Eric Ostermeier of Smart Politics analyzed the first two dozen early GOP contests, finding that more than 229,000 votes – almost 2…

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Smart Politics report shows Donald Trump, Ted Cruz-led ticket could spell down-ballot GOP trouble in Florida

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As the Republican establishment frets over a potential Trump-led (or, to a lesser degree, Cruz-led) presidential ticket, other GOP leaders and officeholders are starting to worry about down-ticket effects. If Trump becomes the nominee, states holding U.S. Senate races – Florida is among them – could see trouble for Republicans and the future of the GOP-controlled Senate. A new Smart Politics report shows that rarely – or never – does a state vote for a Republican U.S. Senator and elect a…

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If Charlie Crist runs and loses, it’ll be the first Florida political hat trick in 95 years

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Charlie Crist, the embodiment of “if at first you don’t succeed …,” could ride that adage into the record books. The former, and possible future, candidate – if he should seek Florida’s redrawn 13th Congressional District – could be the first Floridian in 95 years to achieve a political “hat-trick,” losing gubernatorial, U.S. Senate and U.S. House races. According to number crunchers at the University of Minnesota’s Smart Politics blog, Republican John Cheney was the last major party Sunshine State nominee…

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Patrick Murphy v. Ron DeSantis could be one of youngest matchups in Senate history

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Any idea that politics is an old man’s game will fly out the window if Republican Ron DeSantis faces Democrat Patrick Murphy in the race for Marco Rubio’s open Senate seat. According to the folks at Smart Politics, the potential matchup between two 30-something Florida congressmen will be a contest with one of the youngest pairs of candidates in the history of the U.S. Senate. In November 2016, DeSantis will be 38 and Murphy will be 33; the winner would be less than…

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A Jeb Bush vs. Hillary Clinton race would be pretty unique, actually

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Although some fear that a Jeb Bush vs. Hillary Clinton presidential contest in 2016 is inevitable, it would be very unique in one respect. According to research conducted by an official with the University of Minnesota’s Center for the Study of Politics and Governance, a Clinton/Bush matchup would be the first time in 120 years in which neither major party nominated a sitting elected or appointed political officeholder to be their nominee. Bush has not held political office since his second term as…

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