The demographics against the GOP

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The Washington Post reports (via Maisie Allisonthat minorities “are the majority in 22 of the 100 largest U.S. metropolitan regions.” John Guardiano explains the political implications:

This matters, of course, because minorities, far more so than white voters, are inclined to vote Democrat…States such as Virginia, meanwhile, can no longer be counted on to vote Republican in presidential elections. Indeed, after voting Democrat in 2008 for the first time since 1964, Virginia is now considered a “tossup state.”

The worst-case scenario:

What’s next to fall, Texas? The GOP had better hope not: if the GOP loses Texas, it will become a permanent minority party, incapable of winning the White House except in a rare, fluke election. Yet, three of the 22 minority-dominant metro regions — McAllen, El Paso and Houston — are in Texas.

Of course, Guardiano treats this larger trend like some sort of change in the weather or a thing that one “waits out” (“People’s voting habits can and do change based on changes in their economic status, education, political campaigns, and, significantly, life experience”) without even acknowledging the possibility that the GOP’s current “political campaigns” are effectively turning away minority voters.

Peter Schorsch is the President of Extensive Enterprises and is the publisher of some of Florida’s most influential new media websites, including SaintPetersBlog.com, FloridaPolitics.com, ContextFlorida.com, and Sunburn, the morning read of what’s hot in Florida politics. SaintPetersBlog has for three years running been ranked by the Washington Post as the best state-based blog in Florida. In addition to his publishing efforts, Peter is a political consultant to several of the state’s largest governmental affairs and public relations firms. Peter lives in St. Petersburg with his wife, Michelle, and their daughter, Ella.